Denis Shapovalov vs Pedro Martinez Portero: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Roland Garros Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero
Result
3:0
26/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals
Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
74
1st Serve Percentage
62%67%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)53% (24/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (12/27)18% (4/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)27% (3/11)
Average 1st Serve Speed
189 km/h169 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
157 km/h146 km/h
1st Return Points Won
47% (21/45)30% (13/44)
2nd Return Points Won
82% (18/22)56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
73% (8/11)50% (2/4)
Winners
389
Unforced Errors
3128
Net Points Won
76% (16/21)50% (8/16)
Service Points Won
62% (44/71)41% (27/66)
Return Points Won
59% (39/66)38% (27/71)
Total Points Won
61% (83/137)39% (54/137)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)27% (3/11)
Return Games Won
73% (8/11)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
78% (18/23)22% (5/23)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
64%
Pedro Martinez Portero
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.6)

    2.64
    (2.24)
    4.8%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Martinez Portero (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 27. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 48.
    • Shapovalov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Martinez Portero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shapovalov is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Rinderknech A.3 : 0
    2Atmane T. (WC)Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 3
    3Lehecka J.Thompson J.3 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (26)1 : 3
    5Rublev A. (17)Harris L. (Q)3 : 1
    6Marterer M. (Q)Walton A.2 : 3
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Munar J.0 : 3
    8Jarry N.Fils A. (14)1 : 3
    9De Minaur A. (9)Djere L.3 : 0
    10Bublik A.Duckworth J.3 : 0
    11Basilashvili N. (Q)Rocha H. (Q)2 : 3
    12Muller A.Mensik J. (19)1 : 3
    13Hurkacz H. (30)Fonseca J.0 : 3
    14Herbert P. (WC)Bonzi B.3 : 2
    15Monfils G.Dellien H.3 : 2
    16Bellucci M.Draper J. (5)1 : 3
    17Zverev A. (3)Tien L.3 : 0
    18De Jong J.Passaro F.3 : 2
    19Cilic M. (LL)Cobolli F.0 : 3
    20Arnaldi M.Auger-Aliassime F. (29)3 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (18)Diallo G.0 : 3
    22Giron M.Griekspoor T.1 : 3
    23Shevchenko A. (LL)Lajovic D.3 : 0
    24Quinn E. (Q)Dimitrov G. (RET.) (16)1 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (11)Norrie C.2 : 3
    26Kovacevic A.Gomez F. A. (LL)1 : 3
    27Fearnley J.Wawrinka S. (WC)3 : 0
    28O'Connell C.Humbert U. (22)0 : 3
    29Shapovalov D. (27)Martinez P.3 : 0
    30Misolic F. (Q)Bu Y.3 : 1
    31Moutet C.Tabur C. (Q)3 : 0
    32McDonald M.Djokovic N. (6)0 : 3
    33Musetti L. (8)Hanfmann Y. (Q)3 : 0
    34Royer V. (WC)Galan D. E. (LL)2 : 3
    35Opelka R.Hijikata R.3 : 1
    36Navone M.Nakashima B. (28)3 : 1
    37Machac T. (RET.) (21)Halys Q.0 : 1
    38Kecmanovic M.Baez S.3 : 2
    39Nava E. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.3 : 0
    40Bautista-Agut R.Rune H. (10)1 : 3
    41Tiafoe F. (15)Safiullin R.3 : 0
    42Carreno-Busta P.Comesana F.3 : 0
    43Brooksby J.Faria J.3 : 1
    44Darderi L.Korda S. (23)1 : 3
    45Michelsen A. (32)Cerundolo J. M. (Q)0 : 3
    46Majchrzak K.Medjedovic H.0 : 3
    47Kopriva V.Monteiro T.3 : 2
    48Altmaier D.Fritz T. (4)3 : 1
    49Ruud C. (7)Ramos A. (Q)3 : 0
    50Jacquet K. (Q)Borges N.2 : 3
    51Tabilo A.Cazaux A. (WC)3 : 2
    52Nishioka Y. (RET.)Popyrin A. (25)0 : 2
    53Khachanov K. (24)Vukic A.3 : 0
    54Ofner S.Struff J-L.3 : 1
    55Fucsovics M.Schoolkate T. (WC)3 : 0
    56Moller E. (LL)Paul T. (12)1 : 3
    57Shelton B. (13)Sonego L.3 : 2
    58Gaston H.Blanchet U. (Q)3 : 2
    59Hassan B. (Q)Gigante M. (Q)0 : 3
    60Etcheverry T. M.Tsitsipas S. (20)0 : 3
    61Mpetshi Perricard G. (31)Bergs Z.3 : 1
    62Tirante T. A. (LL)Dzumhur D.1 : 3
    63Marozsan F.Nardi L.3 : 0
    64Zeppieri G. (Q)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Gasquet R.3 : 0
    2Lehecka J.Davidovich Fokina A. (26)3 : 1
    3Rublev A. (17)Walton A.3 : 0
    4Munar J.Fils A. (14)2 : 3
    5De Minaur A. (9)Bublik A.2 : 3
    6Rocha H.Mensik J. (19)3 : 2
    7Fonseca J.Herbert P.3 : 0
    8Monfils G.Draper J. (5)1 : 3
    9Zverev A. (3)De Jong J.3 : 1
    10Cobolli F.Arnaldi M.3 : 1
    11Diallo G.Griekspoor T.1 : 3
    12Shevchenko A.Quinn E.2 : 3
    13Norrie C.Gomez F. A.3 : 0
    14Fearnley J.Humbert U. (RET.) (22)1 : 0
    15Shapovalov D. (27)Misolic F.2 : 3
    16Moutet C.Djokovic N. (6)0 : 3
    17Musetti L. (8)Galan D. E.3 : 0
    18Opelka R.Navone M.0 : 3
    19Halys Q.Kecmanovic M.3 : 1
    20Nava E.Rune H. (10)0 : 3
    21Tiafoe F. (15)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 0
    22Brooksby J.Korda S. (23)0 : 3
    23Cerundolo J. M.Medjedovic H.0 : 3
    24Kopriva V.Altmaier D.1 : 3
    25Ruud C. (7)Borges N.1 : 3
    26Tabilo A.Popyrin A. (25)0 : 3
    27Khachanov K. (24)Ofner S.3 : 2
    28Fucsovics M.Paul T. (12)2 : 3
    29Shelton B. (WO.) (13)Gaston H.
    30Gigante M.Tsitsipas S. (20)3 : 1
    31Mpetshi Perricard G. (31)Dzumhur D.1 : 3
    32Marozsan F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Lehecka J.3 : 0
    2Rublev A. (WO.) (17)Fils A. (14)
    3Bublik A.Rocha H.3 : 0
    4Fonseca J.Draper J. (5)0 : 3
    5Zverev A. (3)Cobolli F.3 : 0
    6Griekspoor T.Quinn E.3 : 2
    7Norrie C.Fearnley J.3 : 0
    8Misolic F.Djokovic N. (6)0 : 3
    9Musetti L. (8)Navone M.3 : 1
    10Halys Q.Rune H. (10)2 : 3
    11Tiafoe F. (15)Korda S. (23)3 : 0
    12Medjedovic H.Altmaier D.1 : 3
    13Borges N.Popyrin A. (25)0 : 3
    14Khachanov K. (24)Paul T. (12)2 : 3
    15Shelton B. (13)Gigante M.3 : 0
    16Dzumhur D.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Rublev A. (17)3 : 0
    2Bublik A.Draper J. (5)3 : 1
    3Zverev A. (3)Griekspoor T. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Norrie C.Djokovic N. (6)0 : 3
    5Musetti L. (8)Rune H. (10)3 : 1
    6Tiafoe F. (15)Altmaier D.3 : 0
    7Popyrin A. (25)Paul T. (12)0 : 3
    8Shelton B. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A.3 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Djokovic N. (6)1 : 3
    3Musetti L. (8)Tiafoe F. (15)3 : 1
    4Paul T. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Djokovic N. (6)3 : 0
    2Musetti L. (RET.) (8)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (2)2 : 3
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