Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/08/2026 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Grandstand (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	19
Double Faults
2	11
1st serve percentage
58%	51%
1st serve points won
65% (40/62)	85% (44/52)
2nd serve points won
56% (25/45)	50% (25/50)
Break Points Saved
8/14	3/6
Average 1st serve speed
186 km/h	195 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
152 km/h	160 km/h
1st return points won
23% (12/52)	39% (24/62)
2nd return points won
50% (25/50)	44% (20/45)
Break Points Converted
3/6	6/14
Winners
23	64
Unforced errors
21	31
Net points won
62% (13/21)	79% (22/28)
Service Points Won
59% (64/109)	68% (70/103)
Return Points Won
32% (33/103)	41% (45/109)
Total Points Won
46% (97/212)	54% (115/212)
Last 10 balls
2	8
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
67% (12/18)	84% (16/19)
Return games won
16% (3/19)	33% (6/18)
Total games won
41% (15/37)	59% (22/37)
Distance covered (metres)
1786	2049

Chances of winning

Miomir Kecmanovic
44.4%

Denis Shapovalov
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miomir Kecmanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.04)		1.71 ↓ (1.84)	5.1% (3.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

What is the prediction for Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov?

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.

Preview Facts

Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 66. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 48.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kecmanovic won 0.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kecmanovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Miomir Kecmanovic won against Denis Shapovalov?

Miomir Kecmanovic has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Miomir Kecmanovic?

Denis Shapovalov has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:

05.02.2025 Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov 1:2

01.08.2024 Denis Shapovalov - Miomir Kecmanovic 2:1

27.02.2023 Denis Shapovalov - Miomir Kecmanovic 2:1

Latest results of Miomir Kecmanovic

25.08.2026 Miomir Kecmanovic - Fabian Marozsan 0:2 ✺

23.08.2026 Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic 0:2 ✺

15.08.2026 Miomir Kecmanovic - Flavio Cobolli 1:2 ✺

13.08.2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Miomir Kecmanovic 0:2 ✺

05.08.2026 Miomir Kecmanovic - Arthur Rinderknech 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

15.08.2026 Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov 2:1 ✺

13.08.2026 Denis Shapovalov - Adrian Mannarino 2:0 ✺

04.08.2026 Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov D. Retired ✺

01.08.2026 Arthur Gea - Denis Shapovalov 2:0 ✺

01.08.2026 Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Sonego L.	3 : 2
2	Halys Q.	Diaz Acosta F.	3 : 1
3	Dimitrov G. (Q)	Popyrin A.	1 : 3
4	Hanfmann Y.	Tabilo A. (25)	1 : 3
5	Darderi L. (21)	Wendelken H. (Q)	3 : 1
6	Svrcina D. (Q)	Royer V.	3 : 2
7	Sweeny D. (WC)	Moutet C. (RET.)	2 : 0
8	Fery A.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 3
9	Jodar R. (12)	Bu Y. (LL)	0 : 3
10	Marozsan F.	Zheng M. (WC)	0 : 3
11	Svajda Z.	Altmaier D.	3 : 1
12	Cerundolo J. M.	Gea A. (LL)	2 : 3
13	Bergs Z. (31)	Taberner C.	3 : 1
14	De Jong J.	Passaro F. (Q)	3 : 2
15	Choinski J.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 3
16	Guerrieri A. (Q)	De Minaur A. (6)	0 : 3
17	Auger-Aliassime F. (3)	Hijikata R.	3 : 1
18	Burruchaga R. A.	Khachanov K.	0 : 3
19	Molcan A.	Bonzi B.	1 : 3
20	Giron M.	Buse I. (32)	2 : 3
21	Mensik J. (17)	Mochizuki S. (LL)	3 : 0
22	Rodionov J. (Q)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 0
23	Vallejo D.	Monfils G. (WC)	1 : 3
24	Borges N.	Tien L. (14)	0 : 3
25	Fritz T. (9)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
26	Bellucci M.	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
27	Ugo Carabelli C.	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
28	Misolic F.	Cerundolo F. (24)	0 : 3
29	Blockx A. (28)	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	3 : 0
30	Shang J.	Trungelliti M.	2 : 3
31	Basavareddy N. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	1 : 3
32	Comesana F.	Cobolli F. (5)	2 : 3
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Gaston H. (Q)	3 : 0
34	Gorzny S. (WC)	Collignon R.	3 : 2
35	Munar J.	Atmane T.	3 : 2
36	Shimabukuro S.	Rinderknech A. (26)	1 : 3
37	Vacherot V. (22)	Kovacevic A.	3 : 0
38	Majchrzak K.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 0
39	Vukic A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 3
40	Damm M.	Tiafoe F. (11)	2 : 3
41	Nakashima B. (16)	Baez S.	3 : 0
42	Michelsen A.	Cina F. (Q)	3 : 0
43	Merida Aguilar D.	Fucsovics M.	3 : 0
44	Virtanen O. (LL)	Rublev A. (23)	2 : 3
45	Etcheverry T. M. (27)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
46	Landaluce M.	Fearnley J. (LL)	2 : 3
47	Berrettini M.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	3 : 0
48	Navone M.	Djokovic N. (4)	3 : 2
49	Shelton B. (8)	Griekspoor T.	3 : 1
50	Dzumhur D.	Hurkacz H.	1 : 3
51	Kecmanovic M.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 3
52	van Assche L.	Norrie C. (29)	3 : 1
53	Lehecka J. (18)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 1
54	Samuel T. (Q)	Machac T.	3 : 0
55	Harris L. (Q)	Kennedy J. (WC)	3 : 0
56	Tsitsipas S.	Fils A. (10)	3 : 1
57	Bublik A. (15)	Wolf J.J. (WC)	3 : 1
58	Tirante T. A.	Mannarino A.	2 : 3
59	Prizmic D.	Shevchenko A.	3 : 2
60	Wong C. (Q)	Paul T. (20)	1 : 3
61	Arnaldi M. (30)	Duckworth J.	1 : 3
62	Wu Y.	Walton A.	3 : 0
63	Faria J.	Brooksby J.	3 : 2
64	Safiullin R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Halys Q.	3 : 2
2	Popyrin A.	Tabilo A. (25)	1 : 3
3	Darderi L. (21)	Svrcina D.	3 : 1
4	Sweeny D.	Musetti L. (13)	3 : 1
5	Bu Y.	Zheng M.	1 : 3
6	Svajda Z.	Gea A.	1 : 3
7	Bergs Z. (31)	De Jong J.	3 : 1
8	Van De Zandschulp B.	De Minaur A. (6)	3 : 0
9	Auger-Aliassime F. (3)	Khachanov K.	1 : 3
10	Bonzi B.	Buse I. (32)	3 : 0
11	Mensik J. (17)	Rodionov J.	3 : 1
12	Monfils G.	Tien L. (14)	0 : 3
13	Fritz T. (9)	Bellucci M.	3 : 0
14	Struff J-L.	Cerundolo F. (24)	2 : 3
15	Blockx A. (28)	Trungelliti M.	3 : 1
16	Schoolkate T.	Cobolli F. (5)	1 : 3
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Gorzny S.	3 : 0
18	Munar J.	Rinderknech A. (26)	0 : 3
19	Vacherot V. (22)	Majchrzak K.	3 : 1
20	Sakamoto R.	Tiafoe F. (11)	0 : 3
21	Nakashima B. (16)	Michelsen A.	0 : 3
22	Merida Aguilar D.	Rublev A. (23)	3 : 1
23	Etcheverry T. M. (27)	Fearnley J.	3 : 1
24	Berrettini M.	Navone M.	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (8)	Hurkacz H.	3 : 1
26	Shapovalov D.	van Assche L.	3 : 0
27	Lehecka J. (18)	Samuel T.	3 : 0
28	Harris L.	Tsitsipas S.	1 : 3
29	Bublik A. (15)	Mannarino A.	3 : 0
30	Prizmic D.	Paul T. (20)	1 : 3
31	Duckworth J.	Wu Y.	0 : 3
32	Faria J.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Tabilo A. (25)	3 : 0
2	Darderi L. (21)	Sweeny D.	3 : 0
3	Zheng M.	Gea A.	2 : 3
4	Bergs Z. (31)	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 3
5	Khachanov K.	Bonzi B.	3 : 0
6	Mensik J. (17)	Tien L. (14)	2 : 3
7	Fritz T. (9)	Cerundolo F. (24)	2 : 3
8	Blockx A. (28)	Cobolli F. (5)	3 : 1
9	Medvedev D. (7)	Rinderknech A. (26)	3 : 0
10	Vacherot V. (22)	Tiafoe F. (11)	0 : 3
11	Michelsen A.	Merida Aguilar D.	3 : 0
12	Etcheverry T. M. (27)	Navone M.	3 : 0
13	Shelton B. (8)	Shapovalov D.	3 : 1
14	Lehecka J. (18)	Tsitsipas S.	1 : 3
15	Bublik A. (15)	Paul T. (20)	2 : 3
16	Wu Y.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Darderi L. (21)	3 : 0
2	Gea A.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 3
3	Khachanov K.	Tien L. (14)	3 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (24)	Blockx A. (28)	1 : 3
5	Medvedev D. (7)	Tiafoe F. (11)	0 : 3
6	Michelsen A.	Etcheverry T. M. (27)	3 : 0
7	Shelton B. (8)	Tsitsipas S.	3 : 0
8	Paul T. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Van De Zandschulp B.	3 : 0
2	Khachanov K.	Blockx A. (RET.) (28)	2 : 0
3	Tiafoe F. (11)	Michelsen A.	3 : 2
4	Shelton B. (8)	Alcaraz C. (2)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Khachanov K.	3 : 0
2	Tiafoe F. (11)	Shelton B. (8)	1 : 3

Final

1

Zverev A. (1)

Shelton B. (8)

3 : 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov?

It is being streamed on channel


Czech-republic	HBO Max