Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP US Open Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov
Result
0:3
26/08/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
85
1st Serve Percentage
57%52%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (28/50)67% (29/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (11/38)56% (22/39)
Break Points Saved
27% (3/11)57% (4/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
175 km/h184 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
147 km/h151 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (16/43)48% (24/50)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (17/39)71% (27/38)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)73% (8/11)
Winners
1428
Unforced Errors
3835
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)61% (11/18)
Service Points Won
45% (39/86)62% (49/79)
Return Points Won
38% (30/79)55% (47/86)
Total Points Won
42% (69/165)58% (96/165)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
38% (5/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)62% (8/13)
Total Games Won
31% (8/26)69% (18/26)
Distance Covered (metres)
16371757

Chances of winning


Marton Fucsovics
47.9%
Denis Shapovalov
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.
  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Shapovalov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.5)

    1.83
    (1.53)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Fucsovics (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Marton Fucsovics will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.16%99.32%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marton Fucsovics will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 94. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.
    • Fucsovics is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fucsovics may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fucsovics won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov 1:2
    13.06.2023 Denis Shapovalov - Marton Fucsovics 1:2
    Latest results of Marton Fucsovics
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kopriva V.3 : 0
    2Popyrin A.Ruusuvuori E.3 : 0
    3Royer V. (WC)Bu Y.3 : 0
    4Fucsovics M.Shapovalov D. (27)0 : 3
    5Bublik A. (23)Cilic M.3 : 0
    6Sonego L.Schoolkate T. (WC)2 : 3
    7Borges N.Holt B.3 : 0
    8Moller E.Paul T. (14)0 : 3
    9Musetti L. (10)Mpetshi Perricard G.3 : 1
    10Halys Q.Goffin D.1 : 3
    11Brooksby J.Vukic A.3 : 2
    12Passaro F. (Q)Cobolli F. (24)2 : 3
    13Diallo G. (31)Dzumhur D.3 : 1
    14Munar J.Faria J. (LL)3 : 1
    15Bergs Z.Tseng C. H.3 : 0
    16Gomez F. A. (Q)Draper J. (5)1 : 3
    17Zverev A. (3)Tabilo A.3 : 0
    18Bautista-Agut R.Fearnley J.1 : 3
    19Monfils G.Safiullin R.2 : 3
    20Harris B. (LL)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)0 : 3
    21Humbert U. (22)Walton A.1 : 3
    22Kovacevic A.Wong C. (Q)0 : 3
    23Duckworth J. (LL)Boyer T. (WC)0 : 3
    24Prizmic D. (Q)Rublev A. (15)0 : 3
    25Khachanov K. (9)Basavareddy N. (WC)3 : 1
    26Dellien H.Majchrzak K.1 : 3
    27Riedi L. (Q)Martinez P.3 : 0
    28Arnaldi M.Cerundolo F. (19)2 : 3
    29Tsitsipas S. (26)Muller A.3 : 1
    30Altmaier D.Medjedovic H.3 : 2
    31Gaston H.Mochizuki S. (Q)0 : 3
    32O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (8)0 : 3
    33Djokovic N. (7)Tien L.3 : 0
    34Svajda Z. (Q)Piros Z. (Q)3 : 0
    35Norrie C.Korda S. (RET.)2 : 0
    36Comesana F.Michelsen A. (28)3 : 1
    37Tiafoe F. (17)Nishioka Y.3 : 0
    38Damm M. (Q)Blanch Dar. (WC)3 : 0
    39Struff J-L. (Q)McDonald M.3 : 1
    40Van De Zandschulp B.Rune H. (11)0 : 3
    41Mensik J. (16)Jarry N.3 : 0
    42Blanchet U. (Q)Marozsan F.3 : 1
    43Fonseca J.Kecmanovic M.3 : 0
    44Nardi L.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    45Nakashima B. (30)De Jong J. (Q)3 : 2
    46Kym J. (Q)Quinn E.3 : 1
    47Baez S.Harris L. (Q)0 : 3
    48Nava E. (WC)Fritz T. (4)0 : 3
    49Shelton B. (6)Buse I. (Q)3 : 0
    50Carreno-Busta P.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)3 : 0
    51Thompson J.Moutet C.3 : 1
    52Mannarino A.Griekspoor T. (29)3 : 0
    53Lehecka J. (20)Coric B.3 : 1
    54Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 3
    55Galan D. E. (Alt)Collignon R.0 : 3
    56Ofner S.Ruud C. (12)0 : 3
    57Medvedev D. (13)Bonzi B.2 : 3
    58Navone M.Giron M.2 : 3
    59Carballes Baena R.Rinderknech A.1 : 3
    60Shevchenko A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)0 : 3
    61Darderi L. (32)Hijikata R.3 : 0
    62Dostanic S. (WC)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 3
    63Bellucci M.Shang J. (RET.)2 : 1
    64Opelka R.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Popyrin A.
    2Royer V.Shapovalov D. (27)
    3Bublik A. (23)Schoolkate T.
    4Borges N.Paul T. (14)
    5Musetti L. (10)Goffin D.
    6Brooksby J.Cobolli F. (24)
    7Diallo G. (31)Munar J.
    8Bergs Z. (WO.)Draper J. (5)
    9Zverev A. (3)Fearnley J.
    10Safiullin R.Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
    11Walton A.Wong C.
    12Boyer T.Rublev A. (15)
    13Khachanov K. (9)Majchrzak K.
    14Riedi L.Cerundolo F. (19)
    15Tsitsipas S. (26)Altmaier D.
    16Mochizuki S.De Minaur A. (8)
    17Djokovic N. (7)Svajda Z.3 : 1
    18Norrie C.Comesana F.3 : 1
    19Tiafoe F. (17)Damm M.3 : 1
    20Struff J-L.Rune H. (11)3 : 2
    21Mensik J. (16)Blanchet U.2 : 3
    22Fonseca J.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    23Nakashima B. (30)Kym J.2 : 3
    24Harris L.Fritz T. (4)1 : 3
    25Shelton B. (6)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 0
    26Thompson J.Mannarino A.1 : 3
    27Lehecka J. (20)Etcheverry T. M.3 : 1
    28Collignon R.Ruud C. (12)3 : 2
    29Bonzi B.Giron M.3 : 2
    30Rinderknech A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)3 : 2
    31Darderi L. (32)Spizzirri E.3 : 1
    32Bellucci M.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7Bergs Z.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9Djokovic N. (7)Norrie C.
    10Tiafoe F. (17)Struff J-L.
    11Blanchet U.Machac T. (21)
    12Kym J.Fritz T. (4)
    13Shelton B. (6)Mannarino A.
    14Lehecka J. (20)Collignon R.
    15Bonzi B.Rinderknech A.
    16Darderi L. (32)Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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