Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Jupiler Pro League - Round 5
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (371/469) | 71% (226/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (371/469) | 71% (226/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 29% (21/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (86/127) | 53% (51/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Ferraro F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gil O. ↓, Vlietinck T. ↑,
- 46', George W. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
- 58', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 59', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 59', Nsimba B. ↓, Dion M. S. ↑,
- 69', Terho C. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Pletinckx E. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
- 73', Dion M. S. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 77', Rodes N. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
- 77', Fredrick B. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 78', Vlietinck T. 🟨,
- 80', Mbamba N. 🟨,
- 83', Traore A. K. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
- 89', Mijatovic J. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 90', Maertens M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Nsingi N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Marijnissen L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
39.3% | Draw
28.4% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dender EH's form might have worsened.Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dender EH, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.08) |
3.36 ↓
(3.55) |
2.95 ↓
(3.34) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Leuven will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leuven (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dender EH is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Dender EH?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
11.05.2025
Dender EH
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
5:0
19.04.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Dender EH
4:4
15.02.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Dender EH
3:2
09.11.2024
Dender EH
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Gent | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 France | DAZN France |
