Dender EH vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw).

: Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.30	1.83
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
83% (246/295)	86% (480/555)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30	1.83
xG on target (xGOT)
3.24	0.35
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
29	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
83% (246/295)	86% (480/555)
Long passes
62% (38/61)	37% (14/38)
Passes in final third
75% (53/71)	71% (102/143)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	1.15
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
79% (15/19)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
63	52
Clearances
36	15
Interceptions
12	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.35	3.24
Goals prevented
0.35	-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Hrncar D. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Goncalves B. ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, Nsimba B. ⚽, Rodes N. (A),
28', 4 - 0, Rodes N. ⚽, Goncalves B. (A),
45+3', Verstraete B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mitrovic S. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
46', Zeefuik L. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
59', Scheidler A. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
59', Viltard M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
62', Balikwisha W. ↓, Kurucay H. ↑,
62', George W. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
72', Kvet R. ↓, Hens L. ↑,
76', Sylla D. ↓, M'barki R. ↑,
76', Masangu K. ↓, Cools K. ↑,
87', Osifo M. 🟨,
90', 5 - 0, Berte M. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),

Chances of winning

Dender EH
39.7%

Draw
26.8%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	5.5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dender EH: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dender EH will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Dender EH: Fila K. (Knee Injury) Holmes T. (Knock) Lallemand M. (Ankle Injury) Mbamba N. (Muscle Injury) Pupe J. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Leuven: Maertens M. (Muscle Injury) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dender EH: Oratmangoen R. (Illness)
There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T. (Thigh Injury) Mijatovic J. (Knock)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Dender EH has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Dender EH?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:

19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4

15.02.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 3:2

09.11.2024 Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

Latest results of Dender EH

02.05.2025 Westerlo - Dender EH 4:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 4:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Dender EH - Charleroi 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4 ✺

13.04.2025 Dender EH - Standard Liège 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

03.05.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4 ✺

13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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Which TV channels are streaming of Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Netherlands	Sporza