Dender EH vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Round 5
  • Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.34
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (371/469)71% (226/320)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.68
Total shots
411
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1217
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
137
Passes
79% (371/469)71% (226/320)
Long passes
43% (24/56)29% (21/73)
Passes in final third
68% (86/127)53% (51/97)
Crosses
14% (3/21)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.94
Throw-ins
2921
Fouls
814
Tackles
58% (11/19)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6554
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.680.29
Goals prevented
0.680.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Ferraro F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gil O. , Vlietinck T. ,
  • 46', George W. , Verstraete B. ,
  • 58', Verstraete B. 🟨,
  • 59', Oratmangoen R. , Kadiri J. A. ,
  • 59', Nsimba B. , Dion M. S. ,
  • 69', Terho C. , Maziz Y. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Pletinckx E. , Schrijvers S. (A),
  • 73', Dion M. S. , Koton K. ,
  • 77', Rodes N. , Viltard M. ,
  • 77', Fredrick B. , Hrncar D. ,
  • 78', Vlietinck T. 🟨,
  • 80', Mbamba N. 🟨,
  • 83', Traore A. K. , Nsingi N. ,
  • 89', Mijatovic J. , Maertens M. ,
  • 90', Maertens M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Nsingi N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Marijnissen L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dender EH
39.3%
Draw
28.4%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 26.5% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 26.7% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dender EH's form might have worsened.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dender EH, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    3.36
    (3.55)
    2.95
    (3.34)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Leuven will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 19.9%64.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leuven (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dender EH is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0
    19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4
    15.02.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 3:2
    09.11.2024 Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
    Latest results of Dender EH
    17.08.2025 Dender EH - Anderlecht 0:2
    08.08.2025 Sint-Truidense - Dender EH 2:0
    26.07.2025 Dender EH - Cercle Brugge 0:0
    19.07.2025 Zwolle - Dender EH Canceled
    Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG642014:31114
    2St. Truiden642011:4714
    3KV Mechelen63219:7211
    4Club Brugge KV53117:4310
    5Anderlecht530211:749
    6Antwerp62318:719
    7Cercle Brugge KSV62228:628
    8Genk52128:807
    9St. Liege62135:9-47
    10Leuven62136:12-67
    11Westerlo52038:11-36
    12Charleroi51317:616
    13Gent51226:8-25
    14RAAL La Louviere61144:8-44
    15Waregem61147:12-54
    16Dender60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
    franceFranceDAZN France
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