Libertad Loja vs Delfín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Delfín
Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 12
Libertad Loja - Delfín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.12
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
79% (308/392)64% (156/245)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.08
Total shots
94
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
31
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
79% (308/392)64% (156/245)
Long passes
53% (31/58)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
59% (76/128)53% (51/96)
Crosses
23% (7/30)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.18
Throw-ins
4726
Fouls
1514
Tackles
85% (17/20)79% (19/24)
Duels won
5368
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.080.57
Goals prevented
-0.920.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Levato M. ,
  • 44', Cuello B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Verges J. , Avila D. ,
  • 46', Monaga J. , Quinonez O. ,
  • 55', Caicedo E. 🟥,
  • 61', Cuero Mercado J. W. , Leon J. ,
  • 67', Gallardo N. 🟨,
  • 70', Gallardo N. 🟨,
  • 73', Zicarelli F. , Mendoza E. ,
  • 73', Levato M. , Cagua G. ,
  • 79', Montano J. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 87', Cuello B. , Reyes M. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
57.4%
Draw
24.3%
Delfín
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 27.3% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.8% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.
  • Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Libertad Loja - Delfín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.8)
    3.8
    (3.4)
    5.08
    (4.41)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Delfín?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • Libertad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Delfín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Delfín were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Delfín 2:0
    25.03.2024 Delfín - Libertad Loja 1:1
    17.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Delfín 1:3
    18.03.2023 Delfín - Libertad Loja 3:2
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of Delfín
    04.05.2025 Delfín - Orense 0:0
    25.04.2025 El Nacional - Delfín 3:2
    09.04.2025 Vinotinto - Delfín 5:0
    05.04.2025 Delfín - SD Aucas 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2LDU Quito23127440:221843
    3Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa23451425:41-1617

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Loja - Delfín?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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