Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 1.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (371/458) | 66% (128/195) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 1.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.38 | 1.19 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
81% (371/458) | 66% (128/195) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (16/41) | 44% (25/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (64/109) | 44% (24/54) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 45% (5/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (15/24) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
73 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.19 | 1.38 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.81 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 34', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Mendoza E. (Pen),
- 45+6', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 45+10', 1 - 1, Ayovi J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Ruiz J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 61', Levato M. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 65', Vega E. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Caicedo R. ⚽,
- 69', Fernandez O. 🟨,
- 75', Gallardo N. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 75', Castro L. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
- 76', Cueva C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 88', Cuero Q. C. A. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Burdisso M. ⚽, Cuello B. (A),
- 90+7', Cardenas Salazar O. B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec 42% | Draw 31.4% | Delfín 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Emelec - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↑ (1.89) |
2.94 ↓ (3.29) |
3.46 ↓ (4.21) |
8% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Emelec - Delfín?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
- Emelec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Delfín is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Emelec will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Delfín?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Emelec?
Delfín has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Delfín were as follows:
22.02.2025
Delfín
-
Emelec
2:0
24.08.2024
Delfín
-
Emelec
0:1
21.03.2024
Emelec
-
Delfín
2:0
27.08.2023
Emelec
-
Delfín
0:1
01.04.2023
Delfín
-
Emelec
3:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 33 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
6 | Aucas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
8 | U. Catolica | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 24 |
9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Vinotinto | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 22 |
11 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
12 | EL Nacional | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
13 | Macara | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
14 | Emelec | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
16 | Tecnico U | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - Delfín?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |