Värnamo vs Degerfors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Värnamo - Degerfors
Result
3:2
18/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 20
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
Värnamo - Degerfors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
79% (344/434)75% (258/343)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.691.66
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
3624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
106
Passes
79% (344/434)75% (258/343)
Long passes
39% (23/59)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
60% (63/105)58% (63/108)
Crosses
38% (5/13)15% (5/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.39
Throw-ins
2638
Fouls
710
Tackles
71% (17/24)63% (12/19)
Duels won
6740
Clearances
4418
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.662.69
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Zeljkovic A. (Pen),
  • 12', Mohammed R. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Ohlsson S. ,
  • 43', Rapp J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Girmai N. , Ohlsson S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Barsoum E. , Lundgren M. ,
  • 46', Rapp J. , Larsson V. ,
  • 46', Johansson C. , Antonsson M. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Mohammed R. , Grozdanic E. (A),
  • 62', Shamoun N. , Alsalkhadi M. ,
  • 69', Moro N. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Sundgren D. ,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Antonsson M. , Bjornstrom A. (A),
  • 78', Rafferty M. , Salifu Z. ,
  • 80', Bjornstrom A. , Coulibaly S. ,
  • 80', Zeljkovic A. , Andersson H. ,
  • 83', Ohlsson S. , Fisic A. ,
  • 90+2', Diaby M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Värnamo
41.7%
Draw
26.5%
Degerfors
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 25.8% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 25% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Värnamo - Degerfors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.4)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    3.09
    (2.63)
    4.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Värnamo - Degerfors?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 57.7%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
    • Recent performances by Värnamo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Degerfors's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Degerfors: Morgado B. (Inactive) Pikkarainen J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Degerfors: Barsoum E. (Injury) Omorowa R. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Degerfors were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Degerfors - Värnamo 1:0
    22.02.2025 Värnamo - Degerfors 2:3
    14.08.2023 Värnamo - Degerfors 0:1
    01.07.2023 Degerfors - Värnamo 0:2
    29.10.2022 Degerfors - Värnamo 0:0
    Latest results of Värnamo
    11.08.2025 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:2
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    27.07.2025 Värnamo - Hammarby 2:3
    21.07.2025 Norrköping - Värnamo 3:1
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    Latest results of Degerfors
    10.08.2025 Degerfors - Häcken 0:0
    04.08.2025 IFK Göteborg - Degerfors 3:0
    26.07.2025 Degerfors - Norrköping 0:0
    19.07.2025 Degerfors - GAIS 0:3
    13.07.2025 AIK - Degerfors 3:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby22165142:162653
    2Hammarby22143542:212145
    3AIK22117428:19940
    4Malmo FF22108434:181638
    5GAIS22108433:201338
    6Goteborg22122831:27438
    7Elfsborg22113837:32536
    8Djurgarden2297628:20834
    9Brommapojkarna22821235:35026
    10Hacken22751032:38-626
    11Norrkoping22741133:43-1025
    12Sirius22651132:36-423
    13Halmstad22631317:42-2521
    14Oster22461217:31-1418
    15Degerfors22441421:44-2316
    16Varnamo22261423:43-2012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Värnamo - Degerfors?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play
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