Degerfors vs Mjällby: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Degerfors - Mjällby
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 23
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
Degerfors - Mjällby - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.39
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
74% (247/333)83% (460/557)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.88
Total shots
812
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
74% (247/333)83% (460/557)
Long passes
35% (26/74)41% (26/63)
Passes in final third
58% (72/125)72% (115/159)
Crosses
20% (3/15)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.76
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1614
Tackles
67% (12/18)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
0.880.00
Goals prevented
-0.120.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Pettersson T. , Kjaer J. (A),
  • 41', Gustafson V. , Manneh A. ,
  • 45+3', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ohlsson S. , Lindell E. ,
  • 62', Rafferty M. , Vukojevic D. ,
  • 62', Gravius C. , Omorowa R. ,
  • 64', Kjaer J. , Stavitski T. ,
  • 65', Johansson A. , Bergstrom J. ,
  • 71', Stavitski T. 🟨,
  • 78', Thorell L. , Arrhenius R. ,
  • 78', Pettersson T. , Tchouante C. ,
  • 80', Taranis A. , Girmai N. ,

Chances of winning


Degerfors
17%
Draw
24.1%
Mjällby
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 24.4% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 23.8% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Degerfors's form might have worsened.
  • Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mjällby's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Degerfors - Mjällby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.95
    (4.18)
    4.08
    (3.83)
    1.66
    (1.75)
    1.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Degerfors - Mjällby?
  • Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0.
    • In recent matches, Degerfors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mjällby is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Mjällby is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Degerfors: Girmai N. (Injury) Hien L. (Yellow Cards) Lindell E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Bang-Kittilsen B. (Inactive) Isaksson M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - Mjällby were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Mjällby - Degerfors 4:1
    12.11.2023 Degerfors - Mjällby 1:2
    16.04.2023 Mjällby - Degerfors 2:0
    10.09.2022 Degerfors - Mjällby 0:0
    Latest results of Degerfors
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    24.08.2025 Degerfors - AIK 0:1
    21.08.2025 Enköping - Degerfors 1:2
    18.08.2025 Värnamo - Degerfors 3:2
    10.08.2025 Degerfors - Häcken 0:0
    Latest results of Mjällby
    30.08.2025 Mjällby - Halmstad 1:0
    25.08.2025 GAIS - Mjällby 0:2
    20.08.2025 Onsala - Mjällby 1:2
    17.08.2025 Mjällby - Djurgården 1:1
    09.08.2025 Malmö - Mjällby 1:3
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby24176144:172757
    2Hammarby24154549:242549
    3AIK24127531:23843
    4GAIS24118535:231241
    5Goteborg24132933:29441
    6Malmo FF24109536:211539
    7Djurgarden24108632:23938
    8Elfsborg24114939:36337
    9Brommapojkarna24921337:37029
    10Norrkoping24851137:45-829
    11Sirius24751236:39-326
    12Hacken24751233:44-1126
    13Halmstad24741320:44-2425
    14Oster24571222:35-1322
    15Degerfors24541524:46-2219
    16Varnamo24261627:49-2212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Degerfors - Mjällby?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play
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