Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguay Copa Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo
15/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
23.5%
Draw
27.6%
Peñarol de Montevideo
48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 27.7% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Defensor Sporting have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Peñarol de Montevideo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The ML Model estimate for Defensor Sporting aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.99
    (3.99)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    1.92
    (1.92)
    6.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 0.
    • Defensor Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 3:0
    02.05.2025 Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    17.11.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 2:0
    27.07.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    18.05.2024 Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Atletico ArsenalOriental0 : 1
    2Libertad San CarlosDefensor Sp.0 : 3
    3Bella VistaJuventud1 : 0
    4Nacional NHCentral Esp.1 : 3
    5RinconCerro Largo1 : 2
    6San CarlosTacuarembo1 : 2
    7Rio Negro SJPenarol0 : 3
    8DuraznoLiverpool M.1 : 3
    9Paso de la ArenaBoston River0 : 3
    10Atenas TalaRacing Montevideo0 : 1
    11CA FloridaAtenas3 : 1
    12Universitario SaltoWanderers2 : 0
    13Wanderers DuraznoPlaza Colonia2 : 3
    14Huracan FCNacional1 : 2
    15PorongosMaldonado3 : 2
    16Paysandu FCAlbion0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1OrientalDefensor Sp.0 : 2
    2Bella VistaCentral Esp.1 : 2
    3Cerro LargoTacuarembo0 : 1
    4PenarolLiverpool M.2 : 1
    5Boston RiverRacing Montevideo0 : 1
    6CA FloridaUniversitario Salto0 : 7
    7Plaza ColoniaNacional2 : 1
    8PorongosAlbion0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Defensor Sp.Central Esp.2 : 0
    2TacuaremboPenarol1 : 2
    3Racing MontevideoUniversitario Salto4 : 1
    4Plaza ColoniaAlbion1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Defensor Sp.Penarol
    2Racing MontevideoPlaza Colonia

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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