Result
15/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting 23.5% | Draw 27.6% | Peñarol de Montevideo 48.9% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Defensor Sporting have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Peñarol de Montevideo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The ML Model estimate for Defensor Sporting aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.99 (3.99) |
3.4 (3.4) |
1.92 (1.92) |
6.6% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 0.
- Defensor Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
07.06.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
3:0
02.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
17.11.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:0
27.07.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
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Defensor Sporting
1:0
18.05.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
20251/16-finals1 | Atletico Arsenal | Oriental | 0 : 1 |
2 | Libertad San Carlos | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 3 |
3 | Bella Vista | Juventud | 1 : 0 |
4 | Nacional NH | Central Esp. | 1 : 3 |
5 | Rincon | Cerro Largo | 1 : 2 |
6 | San Carlos | Tacuarembo | 1 : 2 |
7 | Rio Negro SJ | Penarol | 0 : 3 |
8 | Durazno | Liverpool M. | 1 : 3 |
9 | Paso de la Arena | Boston River | 0 : 3 |
10 | Atenas Tala | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
11 | CA Florida | Atenas | 3 : 1 |
12 | Universitario Salto | Wanderers | 2 : 0 |
13 | Wanderers Durazno | Plaza Colonia | 2 : 3 |
14 | Huracan FC | Nacional | 1 : 2 |
15 | Porongos | Maldonado | 3 : 2 |
16 | Paysandu FC | Albion | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals1 | Oriental | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 2 |
2 | Bella Vista | Central Esp. | 1 : 2 |
3 | Cerro Largo | Tacuarembo | 0 : 1 |
4 | Penarol | Liverpool M. | 2 : 1 |
5 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
6 | CA Florida | Universitario Salto | 0 : 7 |
7 | Plaza Colonia | Nacional | 2 : 1 |
8 | Porongos | Albion | 0 : 4 |
Quarter-finals1 | Defensor Sp. | Central Esp. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Tacuarembo | Penarol | 1 : 2 |
3 | Racing Montevideo | Universitario Salto | 4 : 1 |
4 | Plaza Colonia | Albion | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Defensor Sp. | Penarol | |
2 | Racing Montevideo | Plaza Colonia | |
Final
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