Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
0:1
02/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 14
Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
78
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Leo Coelho 🟥,
  • 18', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Mendez J. ,
  • 24', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 34', Viacava J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Barco A. , Abreu D. ,
  • 68', Viacava J. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 68', Silvera M. , Machado A. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 81', Amaro M. , Ginella F. ,
  • 82', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 83', Umpierrez L. , Mayada C. ,
  • 83', Sosa I. , Lucas Hernandez ,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
31.9%
Draw
28.5%
Peñarol de Montevideo
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.3% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 25.3% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.92)
    3.27
    (3.54)
    2.36
    (2.23)
    7.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 0.
    • Defensor Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peñarol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:35. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 2:0
    27.07.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    18.05.2024 Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    07.10.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 2:1
    23.07.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 2:1
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool M1485121:91229
    2Nacional1484233:151828
    3Juventud1483321:14727
    4Defensor Sp1473416:10624
    5Penarol1473418:16224
    6Racing Montevideo1464413:9422
    7Cerro Largo1456315:15021
    8Boston River1463516:17-121
    9Plaza Colonia1454512:11119
    10Montevideo City1545616:22-617
    11Progreso1436516:25-915
    12CA Cerro1335512:17-514
    13Wanderers1526712:17-512
    14Miramar1432915:23-811
    15River Plate1524910:20-1010
    16Danubio1409510:16-69

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