Defensor Sporting vs Danubio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Danubio
Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
Defensor Sporting - Danubio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
12
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Sanseviero L. ,
  • 18', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 30', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 30', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 30', Pais N. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Agazzi L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Romero S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 61', Fernandez S. , Femia E. ,
  • 69', Nunez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 69', Sosa L. , Rabino R. ,
  • 71', Navarro L. , Machado A. ,
  • 71', De los Santos G. , Sena N. ,
  • 71', Alvarez J. , Abreu D. ,
  • 76', Rabino R. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Pacifico P. ,
  • 82', Gonzalez M. , Brandao ,
  • 90+2', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
40.1%
Draw
30.8%
Danubio
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.9% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.17)
    2.98
    (3.29)
    3.28
    (3.29)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Danubio were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Danubio - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    05.10.2024 Danubio - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    30.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 1:0
    13.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 1:0
    07.12.2023 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 0:2
    Latest results of Danubio
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    31.08.2025 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 2:3
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    18.08.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol751115:6916
    2Cerro Largo75118:3516
    3Boston River743011:3815
    4Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    5Montevideo City742115:9614
    6Nacional751116:7913
    7Liverpool M73319:6312
    8Miramar731313:10310
    9Danubio831412:9310
    10Juventud73045:7-29
    11Progreso72148:11-37
    12CA Cerro72146:10-47
    13Racing Montevideo72144:13-97
    14Wanderers71152:9-74
    15River Plate70250:10-102
    16Plaza Colonia70164:13-91

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