Result
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Cerro
26.5% | Draw
30.3% | Defensor Sporting
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cerro - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(3.33) |
3.03 ↓
(3.18) |
2.17 ↑
(2.12) |
7.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.
- Cerro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Defensor Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Defensor Sporting?
Cerro has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Cerro?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
22.06.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Cerro
2:1
14.04.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Cerro
3:2
07.09.2024
Cerro
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
25.02.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Cerro
5:0
15.11.2023
Cerro
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Danubio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
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