Jong AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap
22/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
38.9%
Draw
24.8%
De Graafschap
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 24.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 23.8% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.65)
    3.76
    (3.75)
    2.55
    (2.3)
    7.2%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap were as follows:
    21.02.2025 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 5:1
    23.09.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 2:2
    29.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    23.10.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 3:0
    03.04.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 0:1
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3
    15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0
    08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jong PSV650112:5715
    2Den Haag541013:4913
    3Cambuur64118:4413
    4Dordrecht632110:6411
    5Roda63219:7211
    6Eindhoven FC63123:6-310
    7Willem II62227:10-38
    8Den Bosch421111:837
    9Jong Utrecht52129:817
    10Waalwijk52126:607
    11FC Emmen62139:13-47
    12Almere City520311:836
    13Venlo52038:10-26
    14Jong Ajax612311:13-25
    15De Graafschap51136:8-24
    16Oss51137:10-34
    17Helmond51135:8-34
    18Maastricht51131:6-54
    19Jong AZ61148:10-24
    20Vitesse10010:4-4-12

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