Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 1.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
72% (224/312) | 82% (389/476) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 1.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.31 | 2.41 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
72% (224/312) | 82% (389/476) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (30/68) | 51% (38/74) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (76/120) | 75% (119/158) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (3/23) | 12% (3/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.95 | 0.99 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.41 | 1.31 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.41 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', van Asten R. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
- 59', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 59', Meerstadt J. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 60', Carrillo S. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
- 60', Venema N. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 60', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 69', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 69', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 71', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Valk S. ⚽, Vetkal M. (A),
- 82', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
- 83', El Kadiri I. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 84', de Jong F. 🟨,
- 85', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Valk S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht 24.9% | Draw 26.6% | De Graafschap 48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+17.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.46 ↑ (2.08) |
3.93 ↑ (3.9) |
2.08 ↓ (2.88) |
-4% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
- In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
Woudenberg L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against De Graafschap?
Dordrecht has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Dordrecht?
De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
17.05.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:0
13.05.2025
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
0:0
31.01.2025
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
01.11.2024
De Graafschap
-
Dordrecht
4:1
05.04.2024
Dordrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:1
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Den Bosch | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 3 | 17 |
6 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
7 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Dordrecht - De Graafschap?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Netherlands | Canal+ |