Dordrecht vs De Graafschap: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Dordrecht - De Graafschap
Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Dordrecht - De Graafschap - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.49
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
2320
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
72% (224/312)82% (389/476)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.312.41
Total shots
2320
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
1611
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
4231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
710
Passes
72% (224/312)82% (389/476)
Long passes
44% (30/68)51% (38/74)
Passes in final third
63% (76/120)75% (119/158)
Crosses
13% (3/23)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.99
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
107
Tackles
54% (7/13)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3937
Clearances
2845
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
2.411.31
Goals prevented
1.410.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Boersma B. , Simons J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', van Asten R. , van der Sluijs J. ,
  • 59', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 59', Meerstadt J. , de Jong F. ,
  • 60', Carrillo S. , Eduardo Y. ,
  • 60', Venema N. , Rossi N. ,
  • 60', Pynadath J. , Afaker M. ,
  • 69', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 69', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 71', Sunderland L. , Bae S. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Valk S. , Vetkal M. (A),
  • 82', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
  • 83', El Kadiri I. , Rijks M. ,
  • 84', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 85', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Valk S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
24.9%
Draw
26.6%
De Graafschap
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 23.6% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 22.7% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.
  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dordrecht - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.46
    (2.08)
    3.93
    (3.9)
    2.08
    (2.88)
    -4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Dordrecht - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2.
    • In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • De Graafschap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dordrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) Woudenberg L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:0
    13.05.2025 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 0:0
    31.01.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1
    01.11.2024 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 4:1
    05.04.2024 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 2:1
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0
    12.09.2025 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 3:3
    29.08.2025 FC Oss - Dordrecht 0:3
    23.08.2025 Dordrecht - Jong PSV 1:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag1091030:72328
    2Cambuur1283124:131127
    3Jong PSV1163223:15821
    4Roda1163221:14721
    5Willem II1162315:15020
    6Den Bosch1152422:25-317
    7Dordrecht1144315:14116
    8Helmond1151515:16-116
    9Venlo1150618:17115
    10Waalwijk1143418:17115
    11De Graafschap1134416:17-113
    12FC Emmen1241721:25-413
    13Oss1133517:23-612
    14Almere City1132622:18411
    15Jong Utrecht1132615:21-611
    16Maastricht1132610:17-711
    17Eindhoven FC123279:26-1711
    18Jong AZ1122714:23-98
    19Jong Ajax1114618:24-67
    20Vitesse942318:1442

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

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