Result
0:2
02/09/2026 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 63% (34/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 64% (18/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/10 | 7/7 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 144 km/h | 167 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 126 km/h | 145 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 41% (21/51) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 61% (14/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/7 | 3/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 63% (52/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (30/82) | 47% (35/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (69/156) | 56% (87/156) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Distance covered (metres) |
|---|
| 1546 | 1641 |
Chances of winning
Darya Kasatkina
24.8% | Paula Badosa
75.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.25 ↑
(2.38) |
|
1.57
(1.57) |
-17.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa?
- Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Badosa will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 25.1% – 83.9%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 61. Badosa is ranked WTA: 93.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 1.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Paula Badosa?
Darya Kasatkina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Darya Kasatkina?
Paula Badosa has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa were as follows:
31.05.2025
Darya Kasatkina
-
Paula Badosa
2:0
19.10.2024
Paula Badosa
-
Darya Kasatkina
Badosa P. retired
05.07.2024
Darya Kasatkina
-
Paula Badosa
1:2
18.04.2023
Darya Kasatkina
-
Paula Badosa
0:2
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Latest results of Paula Badosa
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zarazua R. | Iatcenko P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ito A. | Selekhmeteva O. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rakhimova K. | Krejcikova B. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Chwalinska M. (20) | Townsend T. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Preston T. (WC) | Parks A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vandewinkel H. | Pliskova Ka. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Snigur D. | Shnaider D. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kostyuk M. (11) | Hunter S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Stephens S. (WC) | Tauson C. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Birrell K. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Kessler M. | Alexandrova E. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Li A. (29) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gibson T. | Vekic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Kalieva E. (Q) | Tararudee L. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Volynets K. | Noskova L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (3) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Williams V. (WC) | Kenin S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Sawangkaew M. | Udvardy P. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Zhang S. | Fernandez L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Paolini J. (19) | Erjavec V. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Stefanini L. (Q) | Yastremska D. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Golubic V. | Parry D. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Grabher J. | Cirstea S. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Svitolina E. (9) | Sierra S. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Joint M. | Samsonova L. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Arango E. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Blinkova A. | Kalinskaya A. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Navarro E. (26) | Boisson L. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Koevermans A. (Q) | McNally C. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Lee C. Y. (WC) | Boulter K. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Kraus S. | Muchova K. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Andreeva M. (5) | Tjen J. | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Knutson G. (Q) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Bartunkova N. | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Maria T. | Ostapenko J. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 37 | Potapova A. (24) | Semenistaja D. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 38 | Rus A. (Q) | Jeanjean L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Tagger L. | Korpatsch T. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Krueger A. | Anisimova A. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Jovic I. (14) | Frech M. | 2 : 0 |
| 42 | Linette M. | Jones F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Oliynykova O. | Brantmeier R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Stoiana M. (Q) | Eala A. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 45 | Bejlek S. (28) | Bucsa C. | 1 : 2 |
| 46 | Kalinina A. | Sakatsume H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Kasatkina D. | Badosa P. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Sonmez Z. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Swiatek I. (8) | Wang Xiy. | 2 : 0 |
| 50 | Podoroska N. | Waltert S. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Dart H. (Q) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Jacquemot E. | Bouzkova M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Keys M. (22) | Korneeva A. | 2 : 0 |
| 54 | Havlickova L. (Q) | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Zheng Q. (Q) | Liutova K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Putintseva Y. | Bencic B. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | Osaka N. (13) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | Cocciaretto E. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Zidansek T. (Q) | Timofeeva M. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Quevedo K. | Mertens E. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 61 | Sakkari M. (32) | Montgomery R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 62 | Starodubtseva Y. | Seidel E. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Vidmanova D. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Frodin T. (WC) | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Iatcenko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Selekhmeteva O. | Rakhimova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Townsend T. | Preston T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pliskova Ka. | Shnaider D. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Kostyuk M. (11) | Stephens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Birrell K. | Alexandrova E. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Li A. (29) | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Tararudee L. | Noskova L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (3) | Kenin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Sawangkaew M. | Fernandez L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Paolini J. (19) | Stefanini L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Parry D. | Cirstea S. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (9) | Joint M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Wang Xin. | Kalinskaya A. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Navarro E. (26) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Boulter K. | Muchova K. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (5) | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Bartunkova N. | Maria T. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Potapova A. (24) | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Tagger L. | Anisimova A. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Jovic I. (14) | Jones F. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Oliynykova O. | Eala A. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Bucsa C. | Sakatsume H. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Badosa P. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Swiatek I. (8) | Podoroska N. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Dart H. | Bouzkova M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Keys M. (22) | Bondar A. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Zheng Q. | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Osaka N. (13) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Timofeeva M. | Mertens E. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. (32) | Starodubtseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Townsend T. | Shnaider D. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kostyuk M. (11) | Alexandrova E. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Li A. (29) | Noskova L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (3) | Fernandez L. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Paolini J. (19) | Cirstea S. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (9) | Kalinskaya A. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Navarro E. (26) | Muchova K. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bartunkova N. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Potapova A. (24) | Anisimova A. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Jovic I. (14) | Eala A. (17) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bucsa C. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Swiatek I. (8) | Bouzkova M. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Keys M. (22) | Zheng Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Osaka N. (13) | Mertens E. (23) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Starodubtseva Y. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. (11) | Noskova L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (3) | Cirstea S. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kalinskaya A. (21) | Navarro E. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (5) | Potapova A. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jovic I. (14) | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Swiatek I. (8) | Zheng Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Osaka N. (13) | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Noskova L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (3) | Navarro E. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (5) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Zheng Q. | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
