Darya Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Roland Garros Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa
Result
2:0
31/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals
Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
80%68%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (37/57)58% (25/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (8/14)30% (6/20)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)55% (6/11)
Average 1st Serve Speed
146 km/h167 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
136 km/h140 km/h
1st Return Points Won
47% (20/43)35% (20/57)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (14/20)43% (6/14)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)14% (1/7)
Winners
2226
Unforced Errors
1741
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
63% (45/71)50% (31/62)
Return Points Won
50% (31/62)37% (26/71)
Total Points Won
57% (76/133)43% (57/133)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
37.5%
Paula Badosa
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.
  • Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.02)

    1.53
    (1.67)
    5%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Badosa will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 53.2%87.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 2 - 40%). Badosa (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 17. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 1.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Badosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Badosa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Paula Badosa - Darya Kasatkina Badosa P. retired
    05.07.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa 1:2
    18.04.2023 Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa 0:2
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    26.05.2025 Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa 1:2
    20.05.2025 Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova Bouzkova M. retired
    08.05.2025 Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    2Stefanini L. (Q)Teichmann J.0 : 2
    3Collins D.Burrage J.2 : 0
    4Danilovic O.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 0
    5Tauson C. (22)Linette M.2 : 1
    6Rus A.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Kvitova P.Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 1
    9Shnaider D. (11)Sobolieva A. (Q)2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Aiava D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Romero Gormaz L. (Q)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sherif M.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    13Stearns P. (28)Lys E.0 : 2
    14Mboko V. (Q)Sun L.2 : 0
    15Eala A.Arango E.1 : 2
    16Pavlyuchenkova A.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (4)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    18Tomljanovic A.Joint M.2 : 0
    19Korpatsch T. (Q)Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    20Potapova A.Noskova L. (29)2 : 1
    21Vekic D. (18)Blinkova A.2 : 1
    22Garcia C.Pera B.0 : 2
    23Siegemund L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    24Sonmez Z.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (12)Riera J. (Q)2 : 1
    26Jovic I. (WC)Zarazua R.2 : 1
    27Dolehide C.Minnen G.2 : 1
    28Kudermetova P.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    29Kostyuk M. (26)Bejlek S. (Q)0 : 2
    30Cristian J.Birrell K.2 : 0
    31Raducanu E.Wang Xin.2 : 1
    32Sramkova R.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    33Andreeva M. (6)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    34Lamens S.Krueger A.0 : 2
    35Volynets K.Garland J. (Q)1 : 2
    36Sierra S. (Q)Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    37Kasatkina D. (17)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    38Jeanjean L. (WC)Begu I. (RET.)1 : 1
    39Ruse G.Kessler M.2 : 0
    40Osaka N.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    41Muchova K. (14)Parks A.1 : 2
    42Jacquemot E. (WC)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    43Avanesyan E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    44Boisson L. (WC)Mertens E. (24)2 : 1
    45Frech M. (25)Jabeur O.2 : 0
    46Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    47Carle M. L. (Q)Li A.0 : 2
    48Todoni A. A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    49Keys M. (7)Saville D. (Q)2 : 0
    50Monnet C. (Q)Boulter K.1 : 2
    51Wickmayer Y.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    52Gracheva V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    53Haddad Maia B. (23)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    54Hibino N. (Q)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    55Parry D. (WC)Montgomery R.0 : 2
    56Bouzas Maneiro J.Navarro E. (9)2 : 0
    57Krejcikova B. (15)Maria T.2 : 0
    58Kudermetova V.Tomova V.2 : 0
    59Townsend T. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    60Bronzetti L.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    61Kalinskaya A. (30)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    62Kartal S.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    63Paquet C. (WC)Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    64Gadecki O.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Teichmann J.2 : 0
    2Collins D.Danilovic O.1 : 2
    3Tauson C. (22)Rus A.2 : 0
    4Golubic V.Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (11)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    6Romero Gormaz L.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    7Lys E.Mboko V.0 : 2
    8Arango E.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (4)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    10Starodubtseva Y.Potapova A.2 : 0
    11Vekic D. (18)Pera B.1 : 2
    12Bondar A.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (12)Jovic I.2 : 0
    14Dolehide C.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    15Bejlek S.Cristian J.1 : 2
    16Raducanu E.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    17Andreeva M. (6)Krueger A.2 : 0
    18Garland J.Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    19Kasatkina D. (17)Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    20Ruse G.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    21Parks A.Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    22Kalinina A.Boisson L.0 : 2
    23Frech M. (25)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    24Li A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (7)Boulter K.2 : 0
    26Azarenka V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    27Baptiste H.Hibino N.2 : 0
    28Montgomery R.Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    29Krejcikova B. (15)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    30Cocciaretto E.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    31Bouzkova M.Kartal S.2 : 0
    32Valentova T.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    2Tauson C. (22)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    3Yastremska D.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    4Mboko V.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    5Paolini J. (4)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    6Pera B.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    7Rybakina E. (12)Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 0
    8Cristian J.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Putintseva Y. (32)2 : 0
    10Kasatkina D. (17)Badosa P. (10)2 : 0
    11Jacquemot E.Boisson L.1 : 2
    12Vondrousova M.Pegula J. (3)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (7)Kenin S. (31)2 : 1
    14Baptiste H.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova V.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    16Bouzkova M.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (16)2 : 0
    2Samsonova L. (19)Zheng Q. (8)1 : 2
    3Paolini J. (4)Svitolina E. (13)1 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (12)Swiatek I. (5)1 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Kasatkina D. (17)2 : 0
    6Boisson L.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    7Keys M. (7)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (20)Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (8)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (13)Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (6)Boisson L.0 : 2
    4Keys M. (7)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Swiatek I. (5)2 : 1
    2Boisson L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2
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