Marta Kostyuk vs Darya Kasatkina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/07/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
4	0
Double Faults
9	11
1st Serve Percentage
50%	62%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (35/52)	58% (33/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (18/52)	37% (13/35)
Break Points Saved
46% (6/13)	36% (4/11)
1st Return Points Won
44% (25/57)	33% (17/52)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (22/35)	65% (34/52)
Break Points Converted
64% (7/11)	54% (7/13)
Service Points Won
51% (53/104)	49% (45/92)
Return Points Won
51% (47/92)	49% (51/104)
Total Points Won
51% (100/196)	49% (96/196)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
53% (8/15)	53% (8/15)
Return Games Won
47% (7/15)	47% (7/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)	50% (15/30)

Chances of winning

Marta Kostyuk
58.2%

Darya Kasatkina
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)		2.27 ↓ (2.3)	5.3% (9.3%)

What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 18.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1.
Kostyuk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kasatkina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kostyuk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Kostyuk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Darya Kasatkina?

Marta Kostyuk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Marta Kostyuk?

Darya Kasatkina has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:

09.05.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina 2:0

17.06.2024 Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina 1:2

19.02.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk Canceled

02.01.2024 Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina 0:2

26.09.2023 Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk 2:1

Latest results of Marta Kostyuk

29.07.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Marketa Vondrousova 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Emma Raducanu 0:2 ✺

01.07.2025 Veronika Erjavec - Marta Kostyuk 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro 0:2 ✺

16.06.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

29.07.2025 Anna Blinkova - Darya Kasatkina 0:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2 ✺

03.07.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Irina-Camelia Begu 2:1 ✺

01.07.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Emiliana Arango 2:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Lulu Sun 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Bye
2	Collins D.	Tomova V. (Q)	2 : 0
3	Bucsa C. (Q)	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Danilovic O. (29)
5	Kenin S. (23)	Bye
6	Birrell K.	Mboko V. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Uchijima M.	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Shnaider D. (14)
9	Alexandrova E. (12)	Bye
10	Zhu L.	Gracheva V. (Q)	2 : 0
11	Lamens S.	Kudermetova P.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (18)
13	Krueger A. (26)	Bye
14	Chirico L. (Q)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	1 : 2
15	Volynets K. (Q)	Ito A. (Q)	1 : 2
16	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
17	Andreeva M. (4)	Bye
18	Andreescu B. (WC)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
19	Joint M.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Kessler M. (28)
21	Kostyuk M. (24)	Bye
22	Vondrousova M.	Eala A.	2 : 1
23	Dolehide C.	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (15)
25	Rybakina E. (9)	Bye
26	Osuigwe W. (Q)	Baptiste H.	0 : 2
27	Cristian J.	Stakusic M. (WC)	2 : 1
28	Bye	Noskova L. (20)
29	Yastremska D. (30)	Bye
30	Pera B. (Q)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
31	Jacquemot E. (Q)	Marino R. (WC)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Navarro E. (8)
33	Anisimova A. (5)	Bye
34	Cirstea S.	Sun L.	0 : 2
35	Ruse G.	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Stearns P. (32)
37	Mertens E. (19)	Bye
38	Li A.	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
39	Rakhimova K. (Q)	Cross K.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Svitolina E. (10)
41	Samsonova L. (13)	Bye
42	Arseneault A. (Q)	Osaka N.	0 : 2
43	Boulter K.	Zarazua R.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Ostapenko J. (22)
45	Linette M. (25)	Bye
46	Tomljanovic A.	Sevastova A.	1 : 2
47	Sakkari M.	Branstine C. (WC)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Pegula J. (3)
49	Keys M. (6)	Bye
50	Maria T.	Siegemund L. (Q)	1 : 2
51	Parks A.	McNally C.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Sramkova R. (31)
53	Bencic B. (17)	Bye
54	Bouchard E. (WC)	Arango E.	2 : 1
55	Ruzic A. (Q)	Potapova A.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Muchova K. (11)
57	Tauson C. (16)	Bye
58	Mandlik E. (WC)	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
59	Wang Y. (Q)	Starodubtseva Y.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Frech M. (21)
61	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Bye
62	Lys E.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Putintseva Y.	Guo H. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Collins D.	2 : 1
2	Kudermetova V.	Danilovic O. (29)	2 : 0
3	Kenin S. (23)	Mboko V.	0 : 2
4	Bouzkova M.	Shnaider D. (14)	2 : 0
5	Alexandrova E. (12)	Zhu L.	1 : 2
6	Lamens S.	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 1
7	Krueger A. (26)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
8	Ito A.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
9	Andreeva M. (WO.) (4)	Andreescu B.
10	Joint M.	Kessler M. (28)	1 : 2
11	Kostyuk M. (24)	Vondrousova M.	2 : 1
12	Blinkova A.	Kasatkina D. (15)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (9)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
14	Cristian J.	Noskova L. (20)	2 : 0
15	Yastremska D. (30)	Osorio C.	2 : 1
16	Marino R.	Navarro E. (8)	0 : 2
17	Anisimova A. (5)	Sun L.	2 : 0
18	Raducanu E.	Stearns P. (32)	2 : 0
19	Mertens E. (19)	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
20	Rakhimova K.	Svitolina E. (10)	0 : 2
21	Samsonova L. (13)	Osaka N.	1 : 2
22	Zarazua R.	Ostapenko J. (22)	1 : 2
23	Linette M. (25)	Sevastova A.	1 : 2
24	Sakkari M.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (6)	Siegemund L.	2 : 0
26	McNally C.	Sramkova R. (31)	2 : 0
27	Bencic B. (17)	Bouchard E.	2 : 1
28	Ruzic A.	Muchova K. (11)	0 : 2
29	Tauson C. (16)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
30	Starodubtseva Y.	Frech M. (21)	2 : 0
31	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Lys E.	0 : 2
32	Guo H.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Kudermetova V.	2 : 1
2	Mboko V.	Bouzkova M.	2 : 1
3	Zhu L.	Lamens S.	2 : 0
4	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Ito A.	2 : 1
5	Andreeva M. (4)	Kessler M. (28)	0 : 2
6	Kostyuk M. (24)	Kasatkina D. (15)	2 : 1
7	Rybakina E. (9)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
8	Yastremska D. (30)	Navarro E. (8)	2 : 0
9	Anisimova A. (5)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
10	Kalinskaya A.	Svitolina E. (10)	0 : 2
11	Osaka N.	Ostapenko J. (22)	2 : 0
12	Sevastova A.	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 1
13	Keys M. (6)	McNally C.	2 : 1
14	Bencic B. (17)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
15	Tauson C. (16)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
16	Lys E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Mboko V.	0 : 2
2	Zhu L.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	1 : 2
3	Kessler M. (28)	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
4	Rybakina E. (9)	Yastremska D. (30)	2 : 1
5	Anisimova A. (5)	Svitolina E. (10)	0 : 2
6	Osaka N.	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
7	Keys M. (6)	Muchova K. (11)	2 : 1
8	Tauson C. (16)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Mboko V.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
2	Kostyuk M. (RET.) (24)	Rybakina E. (9)	0 : 1
3	Svitolina E. (10)	Osaka N.	0 : 2
4	Keys M. (6)	Tauson C. (16)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Mboko V.	Rybakina E. (9)	2 : 1
2	Osaka N.	Tauson C. (16)	2 : 0

Final

1

Mboko V.

Osaka N.

2 : 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: