Result
2:0
09/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (28/43) | 45% (15/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 41% (11/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 0% (0/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 35% (15/43) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 58% (14/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 33% (3/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 43% (26/60) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 45% (30/67) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (71/127) | 44% (56/127) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Marta Kostyuk
61.8% | Darya Kasatkina
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Kasatkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Kasatkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.8) |
|
2.51 ↑
(2) |
5%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 27. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 15.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 0.
- Kostyuk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Kasatkina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Darya Kasatkina?
Marta Kostyuk has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Marta Kostyuk?
Darya Kasatkina has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:
17.06.2024
Marta Kostyuk
-
Darya Kasatkina
1:2
19.02.2024
Darya Kasatkina
-
Marta Kostyuk
Canceled
02.01.2024
Marta Kostyuk
-
Darya Kasatkina
0:2
26.09.2023
Darya Kasatkina
-
Marta Kostyuk
2:1
Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Yastremska D. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Kenin S. (31) | |
| 5 | Fernandez L. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Grant T. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Eala A. | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (14) | |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Uchijima M. | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Andreescu B. | Urgesi F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Vekic D. (20) | |
| 13 | Frech M. (26) | Bye | |
| 14 | Azarenka V. | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Siniakova K. | Danilovic O. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Zheng Q. (8) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Zucchini A. (WC) | Mboko V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Sakkari M. (Q) | Bencic B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Linette M. (32) | |
| 21 | Teichmann J. (LL) | Bye | |
| 22 | Joint M. (Q) | Raducanu E. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Stefanini L. (WC) | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Anisimova A. (15) | |
| 25 | Navarro E. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Rakhimova K. (LL) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Volynets K. (Q) | Rus A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Tauson C. (22) | |
| 29 | Noskova L. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Birrell K. | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Arango E. (Q) | Tomova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Andreeva M. (7) | |
| 33 | Paolini J. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Pedone G. (WC) | Sun L. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Kvitova P. | Begu I. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Jabeur O. (27) | |
| 37 | Ostapenko J. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Sramkova R. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Bronzetti L. | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Siegemund L. (LL) | |
| 41 | Shnaider D. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Dolehide C. | Gadecki O. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Parks A. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (23) | |
| 45 | Mertens E. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Lamens S. | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Krueger A. | Bondar A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Gracheva V. | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Stearns P. | Brancaccio N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (28) | |
| 53 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Bouzkova M. | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Errani S. (WC) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Golubic V. (LL) | |
| 57 | Svitolina E. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Baptiste H. (Q) | Blinkova A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Samsonova L. (19) | |
| 61 | Collins D. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Ruse G. (Q) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Cocciaretto E. (WC) | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Kenin S. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fernandez L. (24) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Kasatkina D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (11) | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Andreescu B. | Vekic D. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Frech M. (26) | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Danilovic O. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (4) | Mboko V. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Sakkari M. | Linette M. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Teichmann J. (LL) | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kudermetova V. | Anisimova A. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (10) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Volynets K. (RET.) | Tauson C. (22) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Noskova L. (30) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Arango E. | Andreeva M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Paolini J. (6) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kvitova P. | Jabeur O. (WO.) (27) | |
| 19 | Ostapenko J. (17) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bronzetti L. | Siegemund L. | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (13) | Dolehide C. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cristian J. | Putintseva Y. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Mertens E. (25) | Lamens S. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Krueger A. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (5) | Gracheva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Stearns P. | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Osaka N. | Golubic V. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Svitolina E. (16) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Baptiste H. | Samsonova L. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Collins D. (29) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cocciaretto E. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kenin S. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Fernandez L. (24) | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (11) | Andreescu B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Frech M. (26) | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (4) | Linette M. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Raducanu E. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (10) | Tauson C. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Noskova L. (30) | Andreeva M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Paolini J. (6) | Jabeur O. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17) | Siegemund L. | |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (13) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mertens E. (25) | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Keys M. (5) | Stearns P. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bouzkova M. | Osaka N. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Svitolina E. (16) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Collins D. (29) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kostyuk M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andreescu B. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (4) | Raducanu E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tauson C. (22) | Andreeva M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (6) | Ostapenko J. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shnaider D. (13) | Mertens E. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Stearns P. | Osaka N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Svitolina E. (16) | Collins D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Andreeva M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (6) | Shnaider D. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Stearns P. | Svitolina E. (16) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zheng Q. (8) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Paolini J. (6) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Gauff C. (4) | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
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