Michael Van Gerwen vs Danny Noppert: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Darts European Tour 12 Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert
Result
5:6
21/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : European Tour 12 - 1/8-finals
Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Michael Van Gerwen
70.8%
Danny Noppert
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Van Gerwen's performance.
  • Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Danny Noppert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.45)

    3.57
    (2.75)
    3%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 15.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.
    • Van Gerwen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Noppert has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Van Gerwen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:33. (average 5.3:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert 6:3
    01.09.2024 Danny Noppert - Michael Van Gerwen 2:6
    26.05.2024 Danny Noppert - Michael Van Gerwen 1:6
    27.11.2022 Danny Noppert - Michael Van Gerwen 7:10
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Latest results of Danny Noppert
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Dobey C. (6)Bye
    2Nijman W.Beveridge D.2 : 6
    3Smith R. (11)Bye
    4Menzies C.Pres N.6 : 1
    5van Gerwen M. (3)Bye
    6Gilding A.Dennant M.4 : 6
    7Noppert D. (14)Bye
    8Searle R.Owen R.5 : 6
    9Price G. (7)Bye
    10Veenstra R.Crabtree C.6 : 3
    11Chisnall D. (10)Bye
    12van Barneveld R.Major N.6 : 2
    13Littler L. (2)Bye
    14Cullen J.Wenig L.6 : 5
    15Schindler M. (15)Bye
    16Joyce R.Edhouse R.6 : 2
    17Wade J. (5)Bye
    18Woodhouse L.Borbely A.6 : 4
    19Wright P. (12)Bye
    20Huybrechts K.Hyllgaardhus A.6 : 2
    21Bunting S. (4)Bye
    22Wattimena J.Tricole T.5 : 6
    23Rock J. (13)Bye
    24Pietreczko R.Williams J.6 : 1
    25Cross R. (8)Bye
    26Gurney D.Weber L.6 : 1
    27Heta D. (9)Bye
    28van Veen G.Springer N.3 : 6
    29Humphries L. (1)Bye
    30Aspinall N.Sarai L.6 : 0
    31De Decker M. (16)Bye
    32van Duijvenbode D.Bissell T.5 : 6

    1/16-finals
    1Dobey C. (6)Beveridge D.6 : 3
    2Smith R. (11)Menzies C.4 : 6
    3van Gerwen M. (3)Dennant M.6 : 2
    4Noppert D. (14)Owen R.6 : 5
    5Price G. (7)Veenstra R.6 : 2
    6Chisnall D. (10)van Barneveld R.1 : 6
    7Littler L. (2)Cullen J.6 : 1
    8Schindler M. (15)Joyce R.6 : 2
    9Wade J. (5)Woodhouse L.6 : 3
    10Wright P. (12)Huybrechts K.5 : 6
    11Bunting S. (4)Tricole T.5 : 6
    12Rock J. (13)Pietreczko R.6 : 3
    13Cross R. (8)Gurney D.6 : 3
    14Heta D. (9)Springer N.1 : 6
    15Humphries L. (1)Aspinall N.6 : 4
    16De Decker M. (16)Bissell T.6 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dobey C. (6)Menzies C.6 : 5
    2van Gerwen M. (3)Noppert D. (14)5 : 6
    3Price G. (7)van Barneveld R.6 : 2
    4Littler L. (2)Schindler M. (15)6 : 2
    5Wade J. (5)Huybrechts K.6 : 2
    6Tricole T.Rock J. (13)3 : 6
    7Cross R. (8)Springer N.3 : 6
    8Humphries L. (1)De Decker M. (16)6 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Dobey C. (6)Noppert D. (14)2 : 6
    2Price G. (7)Littler L. (WO.) (2)
    3Wade J. (5)Rock J. (13)2 : 6
    4Springer N.Humphries L. (1)6 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Noppert D. (14)Littler L. (2)
    2Rock J. (13)Springer N.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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