Result
0:2
08/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 41% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 73% (16/22) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 83% (10/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/8 | 2/2 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 64% (9/14) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 80% (16/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/2 | 6/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 100% (1/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 76% (26/34) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 73% (24/33) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (17/67) | 75% (50/67) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 100% (6/6) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 100% (6/6) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 100% (12/12) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
69.3% | Matteo Berrettini
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Berrettini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.34) |
|
3.1 ↓
(3.21) |
4.5%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Berrettini?
- Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 72.9% – 100%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH -4 Games - Berrettini (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniil Medvedev will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 3 - 75%). Berrettini (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 90.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Medvedev will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Matteo Berrettini?
Daniil Medvedev has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Berrettini won against Daniil Medvedev?
Matteo Berrettini has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | |
Final
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