Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov
Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
50%71%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (35/48)52% (44/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (16/48)38% (13/34)
Break Points Saved
50% (8/16)55% (11/20)
1st Return Points Won
48% (41/85)27% (13/48)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (21/34)67% (32/48)
Break Points Converted
45% (9/20)50% (8/16)
Winners
3626
Unforced Errors
3443
Net Points Won
50% (4/8)55% (12/22)
Service Points Won
53% (51/96)48% (57/119)
Return Points Won
52% (62/119)47% (45/96)
Total Points Won
53% (113/215)47% (102/215)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (8/16)44% (7/16)
Return Games Won
56% (9/16)50% (8/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev 51.3%Karen Khachanov 48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Daniil Medvedev 65.7%Karen Khachanov 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Daniil Medvedev 68.2%Karen Khachanov 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Medvedev's form might have worsened.
  • Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.45)

    1.95
    (2.78)
    5.8%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 4.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev 1:2
    11.04.2024 Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev 2:0
    27.10.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov 2:1
    31.03.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov 2:1
    05.01.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov 2:0
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2
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