Result
2:0
07/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (25/36) | 47% (16/34) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 59% (16/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 64% (7/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 31% (11/36) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 43% (10/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (38/59) | 52% (32/61) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 36% (21/59) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (67/120) | 44% (53/120) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
| Marco Trungelliti 47.8% | Daniel Merida Aguilar 52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis) | Marco Trungelliti 53.6% | Daniel Merida Aguilar 46.4% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
| Marco Trungelliti 53.7% | Daniel Merida Aguilar 46.3% |
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.78 ↓
(2) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
The most likely score is 0:2.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 163. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 337.
- Trungelliti is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Merida Aguilar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Trungelliti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Marco Trungelliti has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Marco Trungelliti?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
08.10.2022
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-
Marco Trungelliti
0:2
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
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