Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (42/60) | 58% (28/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 32% (19/60) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 56% (22/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 30% (3/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 79% (15/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 57% (43/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 40% (40/100) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (93/176) | 47% (83/176) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 43% (12/28) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
58% | Dane Sweeny
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dane Sweeny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+14.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(2.25) |
|
2.24 ↑
(1.6) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Sweeny (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Sweeny (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 139. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 131.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Dane Sweeny?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dane Sweeny won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Dane Sweeny has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Dane Sweeny
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo J. M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (26) | |
| 5 | Vacherot V. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Borges N. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ruud C. (13) | |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zheng M. (WC) | Kopriva V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Maestrelli F. (Q) | Hijikata R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Darderi L. (20) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Arnaldi M. | McDonald M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Korda S. | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (6) | |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Majchrzak K. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Hurkacz H. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Moutet C. (31) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bye | |
| 22 | Royer V. | Bonzi B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Bautista-Agut R. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Draper J. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Jodar R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Baez S. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (22) | |
| 29 | Humbert U. (32) | Bye | |
| 30 | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Fearnley J. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Fritz T. (7) | |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Fucsovics M. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Fils A. (30) | |
| 37 | Rublev A. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bellucci M. | Diallo G. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Monfils G. (WC) | Galarneau A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | |
| 41 | Cobolli F. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Altmaier D. (RET.) | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (21) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Damm M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (4) | |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Halys Q. | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tien L. (25) | |
| 53 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Svajda Z. (WC) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Navone M. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Fonseca J. | Collignon R. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Bergs Z. | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Paul T. (23) | |
| 61 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Tsitsipas S. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo J. M. | Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26) | |
| 3 | Vacherot V. (24) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Ruud C. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Hijikata R. | Darderi L. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Norrie C. (27) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Korda S. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Moutet C. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Baez S. | Lehecka J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Humbert U. (32) | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Fearnley J. | Fritz T. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (RET.) | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 1 |
| 19 | Rublev A. (17) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Monfils G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (15) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Walton A. | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (16) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bergs Z. | Paul T. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Svrcina D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. (24) | Ruud C. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Hijikata R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Norrie C. (27) | De Minaur A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Draper J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. | Fritz T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fucsovics M. | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diallo G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (15) | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (28) | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Tien L. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Shapovalov D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (13) | |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Norrie C. (27) | |
| 3 | Djokovic N. (3) | Draper J. (14) | |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Michelsen A. | |
| 5 | Fils A. (30) | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (21) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tien L. (25) | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Fonseca J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
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