Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Eastbourne Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul
Result
2:1
25/06/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/8-finals
Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
46
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
58%55%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (32/45)72% (38/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (19/33)43% (19/44)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)71% (10/14)
1st Return Points Won
28% (15/53)29% (13/45)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (25/44)42% (14/33)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)60% (3/5)
Winners
1731
Unforced Errors
1318
Net Points Won
79% (15/19)29% (4/14)
Service Points Won
64% (49/76)59% (57/97)
Return Points Won
41% (40/97)36% (27/76)
Total Points Won
51% (89/173)49% (84/173)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Daniel Evans
28.7%
Tommy Paul
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.02)

    1.34
    (1.39)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Paul will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Evans (votes: 1 - 50%). Paul (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Evans is ranked ATP: 170. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.
    • Evans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Evans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Daniel Evans
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Bergs Z.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Darderi L.Giron M.0 : 2
    4Fearnley J.Cobolli F. (5)2 : 0
    5Mensik J. (3)Bye
    6Loffhagen G. (Q)Opelka R. (PR)1 : 2
    7Vukic A. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H. (LL)Davidovich Fokina A. (6)0 : 2
    9Harris B. (LL)Norrie C. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bellucci M. (Q)Halys Q.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Sonego L.0 : 2
    12ByeHumbert U. (4)
    13Borges N. (8)Pinnington Jones J. (WC)2 : 1
    14Brooksby J. (LL)Comesana F.2 : 0
    15Evans D. (WC)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByePaul T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    2Giron M.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    3Mensik J. (3)Opelka R.2 : 0
    4Duckworth J.Davidovich Fokina A. (6)1 : 2
    5Harris B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    6Sonego L.Humbert U. (4)0 : 2
    7Borges N. (8)Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Evans D.Paul T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Mensik J. (3)Davidovich Fokina A. (6)0 : 2
    3Harris B.Humbert U. (4)0 : 2
    4Brooksby J.Evans D.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (6)2 : 1
    2Humbert U. (4)Brooksby J.1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Brooksby J.2 : 0
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