South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian NPL Victoria South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder
Result
0:1
22/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPL Victoria - Round 19
South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
414
Total shots
177
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
93
Corner Kicks
414
Goalkeeper Saves
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 86', 0 - 1, Dixon D. ,

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
31.2%
Draw
27.1%
Dandenong Thunder
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 25.1% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 24.3% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.
  • Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Thunder's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.19)
    3.36
    (3.62)
    2.18
    (2.73)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dandenong Thunder (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.
    • South Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dandenong Thunder has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dandenong Thunder is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:12. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 2.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne 1:0
    07.07.2024 South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder 1:0
    06.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne 1:2
    11.06.2023 South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder 2:1
    11.03.2023 Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne 0:1
    Latest results of Dandenong Thunder
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Heidelberg Utd20153245:192648
    2Avondale FC20143353:233045
    3Dandenong Thunder20124442:251740
    4Oakleigh Cannons19121643:251837
    5Hume City2094731:30131
    6Preston Lions2085725:28-329
    7Dandenong City2077635:32328
    8Green Gully2075831:32-126
    9South Melbourne20641022:33-1122
    10Altona Magic2056919:31-1221
    11St Albans20551035:39-420
    12Melbourne Victory U2120431331:44-1315
    13Port Melbourne Sharks20431320:46-2615
    14Melbourne Knights19411420:45-2513

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

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