Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco
Result
1:3
11/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.80
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (254/320)90% (483/539)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.222.75
Total shots
229
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
134
Passes
79% (254/320)90% (483/539)
Long passes
38% (12/32)45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
69% (72/105)67% (51/76)
Crosses
29% (7/24)50% (7/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.74
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
413
Tackles
80% (4/5)50% (4/8)
Duels won
3630
Clearances
1033
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.751.22
Goals prevented
-0.250.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Colman I. , Callejo F. (A),
  • 38', Diez C. 🟨,
  • 42', Nunez O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Salazar A. , Celi Y. ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Callejo F. , Colitto L. (A),
  • 65', Ampuero A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Naya E. (Pen),
  • 90', Callejo F. , Tevez J. ,
  • 90', Diez C. , Aucca M. ,
  • 90', Silva N. , Cardenas P. ,
  • 90+1', Nunez O. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 90+3', Colitto L. , Gamarra C. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Tevez J. , Colman I. (A),

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
40.4%
Draw
29.4%
Cusco
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.
  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.02)
    3.2
    (3.7)
    3.06
    (3.3)
    7.1%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Garcilaso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco were as follows:
    29.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco 0:2
    17.02.2024 Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    16.09.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco 2:1
    23.04.2023 Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Latest results of Cusco
    28.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Cusco 2:1
    19.04.2025 Cusco - Ayacucho 3:0
    13.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 1:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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