Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso
30/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cusco
48.6%
Draw
27.1%
Deportivo Garcilaso
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27.7% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.26)
    3.43
    (3.25)
    3.73
    (3.11)
    8.2%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 3).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cusco will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco 1:3
    29.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco 0:2
    17.02.2024 Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    16.09.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco 2:1
    23.04.2023 Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1
    Latest results of Cusco
    22.09.2025 Cusco - ADT Tarma 0:2
    18.09.2025 Ayacucho - Cusco 0:1
    14.09.2025 Cusco - Sporting Cristal 3:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1073018:81024
    2Cusco961213:8519
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1046014:8618
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5AD Tarma1051411:12-116
    6Alianza Lima943214:9515
    7FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    8Grau1042415:13214
    9Cienciano933314:12212
    10Sport Huancayo1133517:19-212
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas840412:20-812
    13Alianza Atl92436:4210
    14Juan Pablo II92438:10-210
    15Ayacucho103168:14-610
    16Alianza Huanuco1031611:18-710
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca90366:14-83
    19Binacional00000:000

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