Cusco vs Ayacucho: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cusco - Ayacucho
Result
3:0
19/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Cusco - Ayacucho - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.28
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
88% (460/521)88% (365/414)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.42
Total shots
109
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
169
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
106
Passes
88% (460/521)88% (365/414)
Long passes
64% (30/47)52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
68% (52/76)67% (54/81)
Crosses
50% (10/20)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.17
Fouls
610
Tackles
75% (6/8)78% (7/9)
Duels won
2823
Clearances Total
1810
Interceptions
17
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.422.23
Goals prevented
0.42-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Colitto L. , Silva N. (A),
  • 29', Tamariz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ramirez D. , Villamarin J. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Silva N. , Diez C. (A),
  • 60', Yovera A. , Ratto P. ,
  • 60', Lucumi J. , Ferreira M. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Callejo F. , Colman I. (A),
  • 71', Silva N. , Da Silva P. ,
  • 71', Callejo F. , Tevez J. ,
  • 80', Tamariz A. , Caro D. ,
  • 86', Diez C. , Cardenas P. ,
  • 86', Colman I. , Aquino J. ,
  • 90+2', Ampuero A. , Custodio A. ,

Chances of winning


Cusco
64.2%
Draw
22.3%
Ayacucho
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 22.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 22% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Cusco - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.55)
    4.2
    (4.21)
    6.8
    (5.68)
    7.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cusco won 2.
    • Recent matches Cusco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ayacucho is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cusco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cusco is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cusco: Ruidias M. (Red Card)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cusco won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 34:22 (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cusco won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:5 (average 2.4:0.6).
    Latest results of Cusco
    13.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 1:0
    28.03.2025 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:4
    06.03.2025 Atlético Grau - Cusco 1:0
    01.03.2025 Cusco - Cajamarca 1:1
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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