Result
2:4
28/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/377) | 80% (275/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 3.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/377) | 80% (275/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/126) | 67% (51/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.55 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ampuero A. ⚽, Gamarra C. (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Canela Torres J. J. ⚽, Graneros A. (A),
- 14', 1 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 22', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 3, Colman I. ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 3, Cossio A. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vasquez C. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
- 56', Ysique F. 🟨,
- 60', Silva N. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
- 67', Perez J. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 71', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 72', Cossio A. ↓, Javier Navea ↑,
- 72', Olmedo L. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
- 80', Da Silva P. 🟨,
- 81', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 81', Colman I. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 82', Graneros A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 89', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 4, Tevez J. ⚽,
- 90+8', Canela Torres J. J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
52.8% | Draw
28.2% | Cusco
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Alianza Atlético - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.63) |
3.32 ↓
(3.72) |
4.92 ↓
(5.62) |
7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Atlético will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.
- Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cusco is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cusco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alianza Atlético is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:22 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cusco?
Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Alianza Atlético?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Cusco were as follows:
15.08.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
1:1
07.03.2024
Cusco
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
22.07.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
2:0
19.02.2023
Cusco
-
Alianza Atlético
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29:12 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:14 | 10 | 23 |
| 7 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | AD Tarma | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:24 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Grau | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Cajamarca | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 15 | Binacional | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Alianza Huanuco | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 |
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