Cusco vs Alianza Atlético: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cusco - Alianza Atlético
Result
1:0
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Cori V. (Per)
Cusco - Alianza Atlético - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
91% (535/591)82% (252/306)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.410.22
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
91% (535/591)82% (252/306)
Long passes
33% (11/33)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
62% (46/74)58% (38/65)
Crosses
19% (4/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.33
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
1111
Tackles
90% (9/10)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3730
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.221.41
Goals prevented
0.220.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Callejo F. , Valenzuela O. (A),
  • 44', Ysique F. 🟨,
  • 45', Gamarra C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Ysique F. , Espinosa R. ,
  • 58', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 65', Olmedo L. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 65', Illanes F. , Castro R. ,
  • 77', Ruidias M. , Zevallos J. ,
  • 78', Ampuero A. 🟨,
  • 78', Guzman P. 🟨,
  • 82', Benincasa H. , Diaz R. ,
  • 82', Perez J. , del Castillo J. ,
  • 82', Silva N. , Tevez J. ,
  • 87', Zevallos J. 🟨,
  • 89', Callejo F. , Milesi A. ,
  • 89', Da Silva P. , Aoki A. ,

Chances of winning


Cusco
67.2%
Draw
21.2%
Alianza Atlético
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 19.9% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 18.9% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Cusco - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.38)
    4.43
    (4.7)
    8.05
    (7.9)
    7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cusco - Alianza Atlético?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
    • Cusco is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Alianza Atlético has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cusco is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Lupu H. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cusco: Colitto L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Espinosa R. (Injury) del Castillo J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Cusco will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:4
    15.08.2024 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 1:1
    07.03.2024 Cusco - Alianza Atlético 2:0
    22.07.2023 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:0
    19.02.2023 Cusco - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    Latest results of Cusco
    04.08.2025 Cajamarca - Cusco 1:2
    27.07.2025 FBC Melgar - Cusco 0:2
    19.07.2025 Cusco - Alianza Lima 2:0
    13.07.2025 Cusco - Sport Huancayo 3:0
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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