Alianza Atlético vs Cusco: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Cusco
Result
2:4
28/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
Alianza Atlético - Cusco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.37
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
84% (317/377)80% (275/343)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.613.55
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1626
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
712
Passes
84% (317/377)80% (275/343)
Long passes
55% (34/62)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
71% (90/126)67% (51/76)
Crosses
28% (9/32)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.701.22
Fouls
127
Tackles
92% (11/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3133
Clearances Total
1529
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
3.551.61
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Ampuero A. , Gamarra C. (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Canela Torres J. J. , Graneros A. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 2, Callejo F. , Colitto L. (A),
  • 22', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 3, Colman I. ,
  • 45+5', 2 - 3, Cossio A. , Perez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vasquez C. , Perleche E. ,
  • 56', Ysique F. 🟨,
  • 60', Silva N. , Da Silva P. ,
  • 67', Perez J. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 71', Diez C. , Aucca M. ,
  • 72', Cossio A. , Javier Navea ,
  • 72', Olmedo L. , Larios Saavedra G. A. ,
  • 80', Da Silva P. 🟨,
  • 81', Callejo F. , Tevez J. ,
  • 81', Colman I. , Milesi A. ,
  • 82', Graneros A. , Perez M. ,
  • 89', Diaz P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 4, Tevez J. ,
  • 90+8', Canela Torres J. J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
52.8%
Draw
28.2%
Cusco
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 25.4% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 24.2% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.
  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Cusco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.63)
    3.32
    (3.72)
    4.92
    (5.62)
    7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Cusco?
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Atlético will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.
    • Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cusco is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cusco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Alianza Atlético is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:22 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Cusco were as follows:
    15.08.2024 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 1:1
    07.03.2024 Cusco - Alianza Atlético 2:0
    22.07.2023 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:0
    19.02.2023 Cusco - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Cusco
    06.03.2025 Atlético Grau - Cusco 1:0
    01.03.2025 Cusco - Cajamarca 1:1
    14.02.2025 Cusco - FBC Melgar 0:1
    08.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Cusco 3:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    4Alianza Atl1591525:151028
    5Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    7Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    8Cusco1574425:18725
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1547419:20-119
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco1515913:28-158

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