Cuiabá vs Paysandu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - Paysandu
Result
1:0
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 11
Cuiabá - Paysandu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.36
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
84% (392/464)67% (171/254)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.56
Total shots
228
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
84% (392/464)67% (171/254)
Long passes
53% (25/47)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)40% (22/55)
Crosses
47% (14/30)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.50
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1513
Tackles
56% (5/9)70% (7/10)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
1431
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.561.10
Goals prevented
0.56-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
  • 57', Juan Christian 🟨,
  • 60', Edu , Alisson Safira ,
  • 60', Max Alves , David ,
  • 60', Leonardo Ataide , Marcelo Henrique ,
  • 63', Patric Calmon , Edilson ,
  • 64', Marcelinho , Petterson ,
  • 67', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
  • 73', Benitez J. , Wendel ,
  • 75', Wendel 🟨,
  • 76', Denilson Alves , Jadson ,
  • 76', Juan Christian , Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 87', Marlon Douglas , Monteiro A. ,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
57.1%
Draw
26.7%
Paysandu
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.7% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Cuiabá - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.7)
    3.49
    (3.5)
    5.74
    (4.75)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paysandu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Cuiabá is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    06.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Cuiabá 1:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    02.06.2025 Paysandu - Criciúma 0:1
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias19114424:15937
    2Coritiba19105420:13735
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo1979322:17530
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC1983818:18027
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    15America MG19631020:26-621
    16Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    17Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    18Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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