Result
3:2
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (195/269) | 83% (384/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (195/269) | 83% (384/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 51% (23/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (49/83) | 77% (103/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Glebov K. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
- 7', Musaev T. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 12', 2 - 0, Oblyakov I. (Pen),
- 18', 3 - 0, Krugovoy D. ⚽, Alerrandro (A),
- 21', 3 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Litvinov R. (A),
- 33', Djiku A. 🟨,
- 39', Diveev I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Babic S. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 46', Marquinhos ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 47', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 2, Garcia L. ⚽,
- 61', Akinfeev I. ↓, Torop V. ↑,
- 62', Joao Victor ↓, Lukin M. ↑,
- 62', Matheus Alves ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 67', Umyarov N. 🟨,
- 70', Moises 🟨,
- 77', Glebov K. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
- 88', Denisov D. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 88', Barco E. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
- 90+5', Ugalde M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow
33.2% | Draw
30.5% | Spartak Moscow
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.4) |
3.22 ↓
(3.4) |
2.72 ↓
(2.74) |
2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Spartak M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 1.
- CSKA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Spartak M is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Spartak Moscow?
CSKA Moscow has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?
Spartak Moscow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
26.04.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
1:2
02.11.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
25.04.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
08.10.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
2:2
21.05.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
2:1
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
Which TV channels are streaming of CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
