Viktoria Plzeň vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Result
5:1 AET
27/08/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
6.040.49
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
418
Shots on target
122
Big chances
101
Corner kicks
83
Passes
85% (470/556)78% (375/482)
Yellow cards
17
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
6.040.49
xG on target (xGOT)
5.010.90
Total shots
418
Shots on target
122
Shots off target
174
Blocked shots
122
Shots inside the box
264
Shots outside the box
154
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
101
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
6214
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free kicks
2129
Passes
85% (470/556)78% (375/482)
Long passes
55% (41/75)41% (36/88)
Passes in final third
78% (187/240)59% (59/100)
Crosses
30% (13/43)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
3.720.40
Throw ins
3211
Fouls
2921
Tackles
54% (7/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
6464
Clearances
2051
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.905.01
Goals prevented
-0.100.01
Goal kicks
621

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Adu P. ⚽, Souare C. (A),
  • 11', 1 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
  • 51', Adu P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 53', Bukari O. 🟥,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Visinsky D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Ivanic M. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Hrosovsky P. ⚽, Cerv L. (A),
  • 65', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
  • 67', Arnautovic M. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
  • 72', Elsnik T. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
  • 72', Visinsky D. ↓, Kabongo C. ↑,
  • 72', Adu P. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
  • 72', Spacil K. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
  • 79', Souare C. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
  • 86', Cerv L. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Enem J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Kabongo C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Prebsl F. ↓, Krcik D. ↑,
  • 95', Cham M. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
  • 96', 5 - 1, Krcik D. ⚽, Kabongo C. (A),
  • 102', Ladra T. 🟨,
  • 103', Luckassen D. 🟨,
  • 105+2', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 105+3', Kostov V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Viktoria Plzeň
46.6%
Draw
24.4%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 28.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoria Plzeň's performance.
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05 ↓
    (2.41)
    3.89 ↑
    (3.51)
    3.21 ↑
    (2.82)
    5.7%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
    • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 49.8% – 83.6%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.
    • Plzeň is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Plzeň won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
    20.08.2026 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Viktoria Plzeň 3:0
    Latest results of Viktoria Plzeň
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventus11005:053
    2Crystal Palace11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Besiktas11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:033
    6Ferencvaros11003:123
    7Benfica11002:023
    8Bayer Leverkusen11002:023
    9OFI Crete11002:023
    10Bournemouth11002:113
    11Lyon11002:113
    12Torreense11002:113
    13Olympiacos Piraeus11002:113
    14Salzburg11001:013
    15Sunderland11001:013
    16Omonia11001:013
    17Sturm Graz10100:001
    18Rennes10100:001
    19Din. Zagreb10100:001
    20H. Beer Sheva10100:001
    21Jagiellonia10011:2-10
    22Real Sociedad10011:2-10
    23Anderlecht10011:2-10
    24Lillestrom10011:2-10
    25Celta Vigo10010:1-10
    26AZ Alkmaar10010:1-10
    27Levski Sofia10010:1-10
    28Celtic10011:3-20
    29Hoffenheim10010:2-20
    30AC Milan10010:2-20
    31Celje10010:2-20
    32Marseille10011:4-30
    33Ararat-Armenia10011:4-30
    34Plzen10010:3-30
    35Lech Poznan10010:4-40
    36Nijmegen10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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