Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Paphos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos
19/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
57%
Draw
23.5%
Paphos
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 23.7% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 22.4% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    4.06
    (3.9)
    4.88
    (6.25)
    5.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Paphos will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Crvena Zvezda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Paphos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    Latest results of Paphos
    12.08.2025 Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0
    05.08.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos 0:1
    30.07.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Paphos 0:1
    22.07.2025 Paphos - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:1
    13.07.2025 Orlando Pirates - Paphos 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV
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