Cruzeiro vs São Paulo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - São Paulo
30/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Cruzeiro - São Paulo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
52.5%
Draw
27.5%
São Paulo
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 27.7% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27.2% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Cruzeiro - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.78)
    3.44
    (3.38)
    4.78
    (4.73)
    5.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
    • Cruzeiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - São Paulo were as follows:
    13.04.2025 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 1:1
    15.01.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:1
    15.09.2024 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 0:1
    02.06.2024 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 2:0
    02.11.2023 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    07.08.2025 CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    03.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    3Palmeiras18123324:15939
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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