Result
30/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 52.5% | Draw 27.5% | São Paulo 20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Cruzeiro - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.78) |
3.44 ↑ (3.38) |
4.78 ↑ (4.73) |
5.5% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against São Paulo?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Cruzeiro?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - São Paulo were as follows:
13.04.2025
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
15.01.2025
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
1:1
15.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
0:1
02.06.2024
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
2:0
02.11.2023
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - São Paulo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: