São Paulo vs Cruzeiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Cruzeiro
Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
São Paulo - Cruzeiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.87
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
82% (329/401)76% (219/289)
Yellow Cards
56
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.670.28
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
58
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1317
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
82% (329/401)76% (219/289)
Long passes
48% (31/65)33% (13/39)
Passes in final third
71% (53/75)57% (50/88)
Crosses
14% (2/14)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.58
Fouls
1421
Tackles
71% (15/21)57% (13/23)
Duels won
7060
Clearances Total
3523
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.280.67
Goals prevented
-0.72-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Alisson 🟨,
  • 27', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Alisson , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 46', Luciano , Matheus Alves ,
  • 51', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Ferreira , Soares C. (A),
  • 57', Diaz E. 🟨,
  • 61', Andre Silva 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Kaio Jorge , Kaiki (A),
  • 67', Christian , Dudu ,
  • 74', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
  • 77', Ferreira , Ryan Francisco ,
  • 77', Kaio Jorge , Diaz L. ,
  • 77', Diaz E. , Wendell ,
  • 78', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
  • 78', Lucas Silva , Walace ,
  • 81', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 84', Fagner 🟨,
  • 85', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 86', Matheus Pereira , Eduardo ,
  • 90+4', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
  • 90+8', Matheus Alves 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
49.5%
Draw
30.3%
Cruzeiro
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.8% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.8% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • São Paulo - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.98)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    4.6
    (3.86)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.
    • Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (Red Card) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Inactive) Oscar (Hamstring Injury) Pablo Maia (Inactive) Young (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Dinenno J. (Knee Injury) Japa (Inactive) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Jonathan Jesus (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Matheus Henrique (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:1
    15.09.2024 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 0:1
    02.06.2024 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 2:0
    02.11.2023 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 1:0
    24.06.2023 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    09.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa 1:2
    01.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Cruzeiro 1:0
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1283126:42227
    2Cruzeiro1383221:91227
    3Bragantino1382316:12426
    4Bahia1373316:12424
    5Palmeiras1171312:8422
    6Botafogo RJ1263316:7921
    7Fluminense1162315:12320
    8Atletico-MG1355314:12220
    9Ceara1253414:11318
    10Mirassol1145217:12517
    11Corinthians1344514:17-316
    12Gremio1344513:19-616
    13Internacional1335513:18-514
    14Vasco1341814:18-413
    15Sao Paulo1326510:16-612
    16Santos1232711:14-311
    17Vitoria1325610:15-511
    18Fortaleza1324712:19-710
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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