Fluminense vs Cruzeiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Cruzeiro
Result
0:2
17/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 14
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Fluminense - Cruzeiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Fluminense - Cruzeiro live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.81
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
91% (545/601)77% (212/274)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.151.62
Total shots
278
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
153
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
5115
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
91% (545/601)77% (212/274)
Long passes
65% (33/51)33% (14/43)
Passes in final third
84% (169/201)71% (40/56)
Crosses
21% (9/42)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.54
Throw-ins
227
Fouls
1213
Tackles
75% (6/8)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
953
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.620.15
Goals prevented
-0.380.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Fabricio Bruno , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nonato , Serna K. ,
  • 59', Martinelli 🟨,
  • 63', Kaua Prates , William Furtado ,
  • 66', Soteldo Y. , Keno ,
  • 66', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 67', Cassio 🟨,
  • 75', Fuentes G. , Rene ,
  • 76', Martinelli , Lima ,
  • 79', Matheus Pereira , Eduardo ,
  • 79', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 86', Marquinhos 🟨,
  • 88', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 89', Christian , Jonathan Jesus ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
41.8%
Draw
31.6%
Cruzeiro
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 29.4% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fluminense - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.55)
    3
    (3.15)
    3.57
    (2.8)
    5.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cruzeiro?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Fluminense (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.11%90.97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
    • Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Kaiki (Yellow Cards) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Riquelme Felipe (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: William Furtado (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    03.10.2024 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 1:0
    19.06.2024 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 2:0
    20.09.2023 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 1:0
    10.05.2023 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0:2
    Latest results of Fluminense
    13.07.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense Postponed
    08.07.2025 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2
    04.07.2025 Fluminense - Al-Hilal 2:1
    30.06.2025 Inter Milan - Fluminense 0:2
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    13.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 4:1
    06.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Banfield 1:0
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Cruzeiro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    israelIsraelSport 3
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    usaUsaFanatiz
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan