Result
0:2
17/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Fluminense - Cruzeiro live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (545/601) | 77% (212/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (545/601) | 77% (212/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 33% (14/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (169/201) | 71% (40/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nonato ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 59', Martinelli 🟨,
- 63', Kaua Prates ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 66', Soteldo Y. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 66', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 67', Cassio 🟨,
- 75', Fuentes G. ↓, Rene ↑,
- 76', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
- 79', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 79', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 86', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 88', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 89', Christian ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
41.8% | Draw
31.6% | Cruzeiro
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.55) |
3 ↓
(3.15) |
3.57 ↑
(2.8) |
5.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cruzeiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Fluminense (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
- Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Kaiki
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Riquelme Felipe
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: William Furtado
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Cruzeiro?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Fluminense?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cruzeiro were as follows:
03.10.2024
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
19.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
10.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Cruzeiro?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
