Cruz Azul vs Colorado Rapids: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Cup Cruz Azul - Colorado Rapids
Result
3:2 penalties
07/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Leagues Cup - Round 3
Cruz Azul - Colorado Rapids - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.881.72
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
3012
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (433/503)74% (178/241)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.881.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.601.27
Total shots
3012
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
156
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
168
Shots outside the Box
144
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
86% (433/503)74% (178/241)
Long passes
62% (38/61)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
79% (124/156)60% (39/65)
Crosses
24% (8/34)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.84
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
1511
Tackles
88% (7/8)100% (3/3)
Duels won
3225
Clearances
1236
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.271.60
Goals prevented
-0.730.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rafael Navarro , Wathuta S. (A),
  • 41', 0 - 2, Maxso A. , Bassett C. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 2, Frederick W. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Faravelli L. , Paradela J. ,
  • 46', Cannon R. , Rosenberry K. ,
  • 46', Maxso A. , Murphy I. ,
  • 46', Travis J. , Vines S. ,
  • 46', Bassett C. , Larraz O. ,
  • 56', Ditta W. 🟨,
  • 59', Rafael Navarro , Yapi D. ,
  • 59', Morales A. , Bogusz M. ,
  • 64', Romero L. , Marquez J. ,
  • 76', Yapi D. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Rivero I. , Bogusz M. (A),
  • 83', Marquez J. 🟨,
  • 88', Rotondi C. , Campos O. ,
  • 88', Sepulveda A. , Levy M. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Yapi D. (Pen),
  • 1, Lira E. (Pen),
  • 2, Larraz O. (Pen),
  • 2, Bogusz M. (Pen),
  • 3, Harris A. (Pen),
  • 3, Paradela J. (Pen),
  • 4, Wathuta S. (Pen),
  • 4, Piovi G. (Pen),
  • 5, Bassett S. (Pen),
  • 5, Rodriguez C. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruz Azul
50.9%
Draw
24%
Colorado Rapids
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 26.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.4% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
  • Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Rapids might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Rapids could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cruz Azul - Colorado Rapids Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.31)
    3.9
    (3.58)
    3.77
    (2.84)
    6.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Colorado Rapids?
  • Users Predictions: Cruz Azul will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.38%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cruz Azul might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    26.07.2025 Cruz Azul - Club León 4:1
    19.07.2025 Atlas - Cruz Azul 3:3
    12.07.2025 Cruz Azul - Mazatlan 0:0
    Latest results of Colorado Rapids
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    Main

    Liga MX
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Toluca321006:48
    2Pachuca320106:47
    3Tigres UANL320017:46
    4Puebla320016:46
    5Juarez311107:46
    6Guadalajara Chivas311014:45
    7Mazatlan FC311013:35
    8UNAM Pumas311015:65
    9Atl. San Luis311014:65
    10Club America302106:65
    11Necaxa310116:84
    12Cruz Azul302013:104
    13Club Tijuana310025:83
    14Monterrey301023:62
    15Club Leon300121:41
    16Queretaro300031:60
    17Atlas300033:90
    18Santos Laguna300032:80


    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Seattle Sounders3300011:29
    2Inter Miami321007:48
    3Los Angeles Galaxy3201010:37
    4Orlando City320109:37
    5Portland Timbers320106:17
    6Columbus Crew320106:37
    7Real Salt Lake311105:46
    8Los Angeles FC311104:36
    9New York Red Bulls311103:26
    10Minnesota United310117:64
    11FC Cincinnati310116:64
    12Colorado Rapids310115:54
    13Charlotte310115:64
    14Atlanta Utd310027:73
    15San Diego FC310025:53
    16New York City310023:53
    17CF Montreal301023:52
    18Houston Dynamo300032:80

          Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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