Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/426) | 85% (309/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/426) | 85% (309/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (40/64) | 65% (48/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (69/95) | 75% (80/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Montano A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 0, Rivero I. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Cadiz J. ⚽, Blanco A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Orozco J. 🟨,
- 53', Barreiro S. 🟨,
- 59', Guardado A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 59', Moreno I. ↓, Cisneros C. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Echeverria R. (Own goal),
- 66', Faravelli L. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 77', Fonseca N. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
- 77', Guerra E. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 79', Orozco J. ↓, Piovi G. ↑,
- 80', Rivero I. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 80', Sepulveda A. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
54.9% | Draw
24.5% | Club León
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club León might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club León could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cruz Azul - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.25) |
3.88 ↑
(3.4) |
4.56 ↑
(3.1) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Club León?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cruz Azul (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 5.
- Cruz Azul is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- León is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- León may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Piovi G.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in León: Frias A.
(Red Card)
- We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Club León?
Cruz Azul has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Cruz Azul?
Club León has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Club León were as follows:
08.05.2025
Club León
-
Cruz Azul
2:3
15.04.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Club León
2:1
14.09.2024
Club León
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
21.02.2024
Club León
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
28.10.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Club León
1:0
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atl. San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Tigres UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Club Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Cruz Azul - Club León?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
