Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
Advertisement
Watch and bet Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/439) | 68% (191/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/439) | 68% (191/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 39% (32/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/125) | 50% (39/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (21/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Paradela J. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 6', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 1, Campillo Del Campo D. ⚽, Tapias M. (A),
- 18', Sepulveda A. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 2, Rotondi C. ⚽, Rivero I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 55', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 59', Paradela J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 59', Rivero I. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 64', Tapias M. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 64', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 71', Sandoval S. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 79', Alvarez E. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 79', Alvarado R. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 80', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cowell C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 90+4', Romo L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
31.4% | Draw
28.6% | Cruz Azul
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)The ML Model estimate for Chivas Guadalajara aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.96) |
3.29 ↑
(3.18) |
2.34 ↓
(2.41) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
- In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruz Azul is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Chicharito
(Calf Injury)
Govea O.
(Muscle Injury)
Pulido A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Cruz Azul?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul were as follows:
29.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
21.09.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
21.06.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
3:3
02.03.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
04.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Juarez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
