Criciúma vs Ferroviária: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Criciúma - Ferroviária
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 16
  • Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
Criciúma - Ferroviária - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.32
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
84% (307/366)81% (307/379)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.421.40
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
84% (307/366)81% (307/379)
Long passes
48% (19/40)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
72% (83/116)68% (60/88)
Crosses
21% (8/39)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.82
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
2011
Tackles
75% (18/24)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5566
Clearances
2533
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.402.42
Goals prevented
0.400.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Thayllon , Carlao (A),
  • 14', Matheus Trindade 🟨,
  • 30', Albano 🟨,
  • 40', Ricardinho 🟨,
  • 41', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Marcinho , Felipinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
  • 57', Jhonata Robert , Jean Carlos ,
  • 58', Albano , Thiago Lopes ,
  • 58', Netinho , Alencar ,
  • 66', Diego Goncalves , Fellipe Mateus ,
  • 66', Yan Souto , Joao Carlos ,
  • 67', Thayllon , Ian Luccas ,
  • 67', Juninho , Wesley Pomba ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Jean Carlos , Felipinho (A),
  • 80', Matheus Trindade , Leo Naldi ,
  • 80', Marcinho , Benevenuto ,
  • 83', Ricardinho , Ronaldo ,
  • 87', Joao Carlos , Leo Alaba ,
  • 89', Lucas Rodrigues , Kevin ,
  • 90+3', Wesley Pomba 🟨,
  • 90+4', Leo Alaba 🟨,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
49.5%
Draw
29.4%
Ferroviária
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 29.9% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 29% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Criciúma - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.83)
    3.18
    (3.1)
    4.45
    (4.75)
    6.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Criciúma - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Criciúma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Criciúma is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Thales (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Gustavo Jundi (Inactive) Ze Mario (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel (Inactive) Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Eric Melo (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Criciúma
    08.07.2025 Goiás - Criciúma 1:1
    27.06.2025 Criciúma - Avaí 1:2
    15.06.2025 Criciúma - Amazonas 3:2
    09.06.2025 Criciúma - Vila Nova 1:0
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba16103316:61033
    2Goias16103320:12833
    3Novorizontino1686221:111030
    4Remo1667318:14425
    5Avai1566319:13624
    6Chapecoense-SC1672720:16423
    7Athletico-PR1672719:20-123
    8Vila Nova FC1672714:15-123
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10Atletico GO1657418:16222
    11CRB1663715:15021
    12America MG1662817:20-320
    13Criciuma1655619:17220
    14Operario-PR1653817:19-218
    15Ferroviaria1646616:19-318
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA1636711:17-615
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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