Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (190/266) | 82% (400/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (190/266) | 82% (400/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 21% (11/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (57/105) | 77% (128/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Billington L. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Demetriou M. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
- 36', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Tsaroulla N. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
- 57', Holicek M. 🟨,
- 64', Iorpenda T. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
- 65', Agius C. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
- 72', Hall T. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 75', Thomas C. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 89', Holicek M. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 89', Finney C. ↓, Mingi J. J. ↑,
- 90', Macari L. ↓, Aljofree S. ↑,
- 90', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
- 90+1', Cotter B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Roos K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, March J. (Pen),
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
40.4% | Draw
28.5% | Notts County
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Crewe Alexandra - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.11) |
3.29 ↓
(3.45) |
3.03 ↓
(3.28) |
6.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4.
- Crewe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Notts County?
Crewe Alexandra has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crewe Alexandra?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Notts County were as follows:
22.03.2025
Notts County
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
16.11.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
2:0
24.02.2024
Notts County
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:3
11.11.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
1:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Which TV channels are streaming of Crewe Alexandra - Notts County?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
