Northampton Town vs Crewe Alexandra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra
Result
1:0
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Northampton Town
61.8%
Draw
23.8%
Crewe Alexandra
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 25.2% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.6% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.55)
    3.99
    (3.64)
    6.43
    (5.8)
    6.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 17).
    • Northampton has the most likely position - 4 (18.35%), project points - 79, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), a chance of promoted (46%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
    • Crewe has the most likely position - 18 (19.16%), project points - 54, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 9, importance 38, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
    • Northampton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Crewe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Northampton is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Northampton to win the game is with odds 1.56.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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