Crewe Alexandra vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
0:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 44
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.60
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
74% (282/381)52% (113/216)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.98
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
104
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2818
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
74% (282/381)52% (113/216)
Long passes
37% (29/79)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
66% (88/134)40% (37/92)
Crosses
28% (10/36)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.18
Fouls
1421
Tackles
56% (5/9)81% (13/16)
Duels won
7079
Clearances Total
2758
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.980.07
Goals prevented
-0.020.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Hogan S. ,
  • 38', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 42', Thomas C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Nemane A. 🟨,
  • 57', Williams Z. , Long Ch. ,
  • 61', Leko J. , Hendry C. ,
  • 61', Nemane A. , White J. ,
  • 75', Kelly L. , Waller C. ,
  • 76', Thomas C. , Agius C. ,
  • 76', Hemmings K. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 78', Hogan S. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
45.4%
Draw
27.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 27.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 23.2% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The chances for Milton Keynes Dons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.04)
    3.4
    (3.45)
    3.5
    (3.47)
    6.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
    • Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Crewe will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Lankester J. (Injury) Lunt O. (Red Card) Robinson N. (Inactive) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Tabiner J. (Injury) Thomas C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    16.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 3:1
    02.09.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons 3:1
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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