Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.46
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
67% (223/331)66% (176/267)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.29
Total shots
159
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
308
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
67% (223/331)66% (176/267)
Long passes
32% (26/81)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
56% (80/144)48% (41/85)
Crosses
25% (6/24)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.67
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
1319
Tackles
100% (13/13)50% (10/20)
Duels won
7370
Clearances
3546
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.291.12
Goals prevented
0.29-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Hutchinson R. , March J. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Agius C. , March J. (A),
  • 35', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pye L. , Henderson A. ,
  • 46', Grant C. , Brown C. ,
  • 73', Brown C. 🟨,
  • 76', Rawson F. 🟨,
  • 77', Sanders M. H. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 80', Agius C. , Moult L. ,
  • 82', Caton C. , Mooney K. ,
  • 82', Woods J. , Popoola A. ,
  • 87', Thomas C. , Powell J. ,
  • 87', O'Reilly T. , Finney C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
48.8%
Draw
27.8%
Accrington Stanley
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 29% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 28.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.
  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Accrington Stanley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.24)
    3.35
    (3.26)
    3.96
    (3.28)
    6.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
    • Crewe could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 0:1
    14.09.2024 Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra 0:1
    06.04.2024 Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    16.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 3:3
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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