Stevenage Borough vs Crawley Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.65
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
57% (129/225)84% (436/519)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.93
Total shots
79
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1612
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
57% (129/225)84% (436/519)
Long passes
26% (14/53)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
55% (49/89)70% (81/115)
Crosses
20% (2/10)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.62
Fouls
1510
Tackles
63% (12/19)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4543
Clearances Total
2527
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.930.84
Goals prevented
-0.07-2.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, White H. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', Goode C. 🟨,
  • 63', Camara P. , Roles J. ,
  • 63', List E. , Roberts J. ,
  • 64', Appere L. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Ibrahim B. , Roles J. (A),
  • 76', White H. , Reid J. ,
  • 76', Phillips D. , King E. ,
  • 77', Fraser L. , John-Jules T. ,
  • 85', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 88', Mullarkey T. , Radcliffe B. ,
  • 88', Doyle K. , Holohan G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Reid J. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Kemp D. ,

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
47.6%
Draw
27.6%
Crawley Town
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 25.4% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 23.5% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.6)
    3.44
    (3.6)
    3.81
    (5.25)
    6.1%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3.
    • Stevenage is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Crawley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Stevenage have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Forster-Caskey J. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Showunmi T. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough 3:1
    30.12.2022 Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town 3:1
    01.10.2022 Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough 1:2
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huddersfield11003:033
    2Wigan11003:123
    3Barnsley11003:123
    4Stockport County11002:023
    5Lincoln11002:023
    6Stevenage11003:213
    7Cardiff11002:113
    8Bradford City11002:113
    9Rotherham11002:113
    10Burton11002:113
    11Doncaster11001:013
    12Luton11001:013
    13Blackpool10012:3-10
    14Port Vale10011:2-10
    15Wycombe10011:2-10
    16Mansfield10011:2-10
    17Peterborough10011:2-10
    18Exeter10010:1-10
    19AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10
    20Plymouth10011:3-20
    21Northampton10011:3-20
    22Bolton10010:2-20
    23Reading10010:2-20
    24Leyton Orient10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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