Rotherham United vs Crawley Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Rotherham United - Crawley Town
Result
0:4
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 39
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Rotherham United - Crawley Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.41
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
68% (209/307)80% (325/405)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.97
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1532
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
618
Passes
68% (209/307)80% (325/405)
Long passes
45% (32/71)33% (13/39)
Passes in final third
58% (78/134)75% (83/111)
Crosses
30% (7/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.84
Fouls
186
Tackles
68% (13/19)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5456
Clearances Total
1239
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.970.42
Goals prevented
-2.030.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Sibley L. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Doyle K. , Quitirna A. (A),
  • 45+3', Watson L. , Camara P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Sibley L. , Kelly L. ,
  • 46', Mpanzu P. , Holmes J. ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Doyle K. , Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
  • 59', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 59', Wilks M. 🟨,
  • 72', Doyle K. , Forster H. ,
  • 82', Forster H. , John-Jules T. ,
  • 83', Kelly J. , Holohan G. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Holohan G. , Camara P. (A),
  • 87', 0 - 4, Camara P. , Fraser L. (A),
  • 89', Nombe S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
57.5%
Draw
22.8%
Crawley Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 20.9% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 20.2% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotherham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rotherham United - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.47)
    4.11
    (4.49)
    4.72
    (6.25)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent matches Rotherham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rotherham is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D. (Leg Injury) Jules Z. (Injury) MacDonald A. (Hip Injury) Raggett S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Hugill J. (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Crawley Town were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Crawley Town - Rotherham United 1:0
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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