Crawley Town vs Northampton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Crawley Town - Northampton Town
Result
3:0
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Northampton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.27
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
80% (366/455)65% (168/259)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.920.80
Total shots
167
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
179
Passes
80% (366/455)65% (168/259)
Long passes
42% (25/60)32% (26/81)
Passes in final third
61% (66/109)44% (37/85)
Crosses
20% (3/15)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.17
Throw-ins
1926
Fouls
917
Tackles
93% (13/14)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5425
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.801.92
Goals prevented
0.80-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Camara P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Odimayo A. , Mbete L. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Kelly J. , Holohan G. (A),
  • 67', Roberts T. , Fosu T. ,
  • 68', Taylor T. , Wilson J. ,
  • 74', Roles J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 75', Camara P. , Doyle K. ,
  • 76', Guinness-Walker N. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 83', Holohan G. , Papadopoulos A. ,
  • 83', Pinnock M. , Brough P. ,
  • 88', 3 - 0, Doyle K. , Fraser L. (A),
  • 90+1', Fraser L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
45.4%
Draw
27.3%
Northampton Town
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 25.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Crawley Town - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.95)
    3.46
    (3.68)
    3.46
    (3.59)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Northampton Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
    • Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Cox M. (Injury) Flint J. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Eaves T. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury) Willis J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Forster H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Northampton Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Northampton Town - Crawley Town 3:0
    04.03.2023 Northampton Town - Crawley Town 1:0
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)
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