Crawley Town vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crawley Town - Newport County
Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Newport County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.48
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
77% (318/415)67% (177/263)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.07
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
77% (318/415)67% (177/263)
Long passes
36% (24/66)27% (17/64)
Passes in final third
54% (69/128)42% (35/84)
Crosses
44% (7/16)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.49
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1118
Tackles
73% (8/11)35% (6/17)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
4040
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
2.070.99
Goals prevented
0.07-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Thomas J. , Ogunneye H. ,
  • 47', Jenkins L. 🟨,
  • 55', Garner G. , Kamwa B. ,
  • 60', Whitmore K. 🟨,
  • 62', Antwi C. , Evans C. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Whitmore K. , Smith M. (A),
  • 70', 0 - 2, Shephard L. , Baker M. (A),
  • 75', Brown R. , Roles J. ,
  • 77', Holohan G. , Watson L. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 82', Reindorf M. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 86', Adeyemo A. , Flower L. ,
  • 86', Williams J. , Anderson M. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Anderson M. , Flower L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
56.8%
Draw
24.1%
Newport County
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.5% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 24.4% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Crawley Town - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.62)
    3.88
    (3.97)
    4.87
    (5.02)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
    • Crawley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newport is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newport has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newport: Brennan C. (Inactive) Spellman M. (Inactive) Warner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Newport County were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Newport County - Crawley Town 0:4
    09.09.2023 Crawley Town - Newport County 4:1
    02.01.2023 Newport County - Crawley Town 2:2
    15.10.2022 Crawley Town - Newport County 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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