Crawley Town vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crawley Town - Newport County
Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Newport County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.48
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
77% (318/415)67% (177/263)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.07
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
77% (318/415)67% (177/263)
Long passes
36% (24/66)27% (17/64)
Passes in final third
54% (69/128)42% (35/84)
Crosses
44% (7/16)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.49
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1118
Tackles
73% (8/11)35% (6/17)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
4040
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
2.070.99
Goals prevented
0.07-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Thomas J. , Ogunneye H. ,
  • 47', Jenkins L. 🟨,
  • 55', Garner G. , Kamwa B. ,
  • 60', Whitmore K. 🟨,
  • 62', Antwi C. , Evans C. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Whitmore K. , Smith M. (A),
  • 70', 0 - 2, Shephard L. , Baker M. (A),
  • 75', Brown R. , Roles J. ,
  • 77', Holohan G. , Watson L. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 82', Reindorf M. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 86', Adeyemo A. , Flower L. ,
  • 86', Williams J. , Anderson M. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Anderson M. , Flower L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
56.8%
Draw
24.1%
Newport County
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.5% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 24.4% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Crawley Town - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.62)
    3.88
    (3.97)
    4.87
    (5.02)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
    • Crawley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newport is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newport has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newport: Brennan C. (Inactive) Spellman M. (Inactive) Warner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Newport County were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Newport County - Crawley Town 0:4
    09.09.2023 Crawley Town - Newport County 4:1
    02.01.2023 Newport County - Crawley Town 2:2
    15.10.2022 Crawley Town - Newport County 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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