Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Leyton Orient - Crawley Town
Result
2:1
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
Leyton Orient - Crawley Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.64
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
246
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
77% (325/422)77% (332/431)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.700.09
Total shots
246
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
339
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
77% (325/422)77% (332/431)
Long passes
36% (20/55)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
69% (104/150)48% (33/69)
Crosses
19% (5/26)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.22
Throw-ins
2820
Fouls
1214
Tackles
52% (11/21)46% (12/26)
Duels won
5757
Clearances
1842
Interceptions
1118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.091.70
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Flower L. , Tshimanga K. (A),
  • 38', Anderson M. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Mitchell D. ,
  • 43', Malone S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Conroy D. , Barker C. ,
  • 46', Malone S. , Flint J. ,
  • 49', Edmonds-Green R. 🟨,
  • 57', Loft R. , Showunmi T. ,
  • 59', Clare S. , El Mizouni I. ,
  • 75', Tshimanga K. , Robertson J. ,
  • 77', Jaiyesimi D. , Connolly A. ,
  • 77', Wellens C. , Ballard D. ,
  • 87', Scott K. , Holohan G. ,
  • 90', Koroma J. , Hambury Z. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Connolly A. ,

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
66.3%
Draw
18.3%
Crawley Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 22.4% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.
  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Leyton Orient - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.61)
    5.16
    (3.99)
    6.08
    (4.73)
    6.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 5.
    • Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Crawley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Leyton Orient is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Crawley Town were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Crawley Town - Leyton Orient 1:3
    26.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Crawley Town 3:0
    18.02.2023 Leyton Orient - Crawley Town 1:0
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Salford220005:16
    2Stockport County210016:63
    3Wolves U21210015:63
    4Wigan200021:40


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tranmere211004:35
    2Blackpool110005:03
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow200021:70


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Doncaster220005:16
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Everton U21100011:20
    4Grimsby200021:50


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln220006:06
    2Notts Co210012:43
    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham210013:33
    4Oldham200023:80


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Harrogate220002:06
    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Mansfield100010:10
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale220006:16
    2Fleetwood211006:25
    3Accrington200112:41
    4Leeds U21200021:80


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton210012:13
    3Chesterfield210012:73
    4Liverpool U21100010:20


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Newport210012:23
    3Cardiff210011:13
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers211005:45
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham200020:30


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton220004:06
    2Walsall210013:23
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1Reading320016:46
    2West Ham U21210016:43
    3Swindon110003:23
    4MK Dons200021:60


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage220007:26
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley201014:52
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Leyton Orient220005:26
    2Crawley210015:43
    3Peterborough210015:53
    4Aston Villa U21200024:80


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Colchester220004:26
    2Gillingham210015:33
    3Wycombe210014:33
    4Fulham U21200022:70


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Cambridge Utd110003:13
    2Luton210015:43
    3Barnet201012:52
    4Brighton U21100101:11

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