Crawley Town vs Barrow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crawley Town - Barrow
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Barrow - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.74
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
127
Passes
85% (481/563)71% (187/264)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.63
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1612
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
23
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
127
Touches in opposition box
4135
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
65
Passes
85% (481/563)71% (187/264)
Long passes
44% (19/43)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
75% (132/177)70% (81/115)
Crosses
26% (10/39)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.971.08
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
56
Tackles
82% (9/11)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
3764
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.631.72
Goals prevented
-0.370.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', Adeyemo A. , Forster H. ,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Gordon J. , Fletcher I. (A),
  • 45+6', 0 - 2, Fletcher I. , Earing J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 56', Loft R. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Bajrami G. , Pereira D. (A),
  • 66', Booty R. , Harper R. ,
  • 66', Mahoney C. , Whitfield B. ,
  • 74', Gordon J. , Walker T. ,
  • 86', Fletcher I. , Cameron I. ,
  • 90', Walker T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Newby E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Holohan G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Stanway W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
42.3%
Draw
27.2%
Barrow
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 26.8% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Crawley Town - Barrow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.19)
    3.47
    (3.42)
    3.07
    (3.11)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
    • Crawley is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Crawley will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Hamstring Injury) Canavan N. (Injury) Foley S. (Injury) Healey R. (Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Cashman D. (Injury) Watson L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Harper R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Barrow were as follows:
    16.04.2024 Crawley Town - Barrow 1:1
    18.11.2023 Barrow - Crawley Town 1:0
    10.04.2023 Barrow - Crawley Town 4:0
    12.11.2022 Crawley Town - Barrow 1:0
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Barrow
    20.09.2025 Barrow - Crewe Alexandra 1:0
    16.09.2025 Blackpool - Barrow 5:0
    13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1
    06.09.2025 Barrow - Swindon Town 1:3
    30.08.2025 Barrow - Fleetwood Town 0:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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