Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/351) | 80% (404/507) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/351) | 80% (404/507) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/59) | 41% (34/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (72/126) | 62% (57/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Maigaard M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Minchev M. ⚽, Stojilkovic F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Klich M. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Perkovic M. ⚽,
- 59', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 59', Pienko T. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
- 59', Struski K. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 66', Perkovic M. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
- 66', Kakabadze O. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
- 69', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
- 72', Ameyaw M. ↓, Seck I. ↑,
- 81', Klich M. ↓, Hasic A. ↑,
- 81', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 81', Brunes J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 88', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 89', Rondic I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Maigaard M. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
- 90+3', Henriksson G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
40.1% | Draw
31.6% | Raków Częstochowa
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia's performance.Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cracovia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(3.2) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
3.94 ↑
(2.26) |
-4.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Raków will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.
- Recent performances by Cracovia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Raków is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Hasic A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Lopez I.
(Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tudor F.
(Red Card)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Raków Częstochowa?
Cracovia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Cracovia?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
01.02.2025
Cracovia
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
29.07.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Cracovia
0:1
19.05.2024
Cracovia
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:0
06.12.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Cracovia
1:0
25.11.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Cracovia
1:1
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
