Cracovia vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 31
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	1.31
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
80% (351/437)	78% (277/354)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	1.71
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	3
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
13	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
80% (351/437)	78% (277/354)
Long passes
50% (28/56)	40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
64% (65/102)	77% (112/146)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.35
Throw-ins
31	21
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
67% (12/18)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
57	43
Clearances
22	18
Interceptions
3	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.71	0.23
Goals prevented
-0.29	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pllana B. ↓, Gueho L. ↑,
46', Janasik P. ↓, Olafsson D. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Khlan M. ⚽,
59', Sokolowski P. ↓, Bzdyl F. ↑,
59', Smiglewski K. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
64', Glogowski M. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
65', Maigaard M. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
71', Viunnyk B. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
82', Biedrzycki B. ↓, Polak D. ↑,
85', Mena C. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Zhelizko I. (Pen),
90+3', Hasic A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cracovia
39%

Draw
26.6%

Lechia Gdańsk
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cracovia's form might have worsened.

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.91)	3.55 ↓ (3.83)	2.73 ↓ (3.54)	6.2% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lechia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Cracovia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Cracovia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Cracovia?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:

03.11.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia 1:2

22.04.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia 1:2

08.10.2022 Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk 0:1

Latest results of Cracovia

26.04.2025 Motor Lublin - Cracovia 0:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Cracovia 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Cracovia - Śląsk Wrocław 2:4 ✺

04.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Cracovia 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

26.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Piast Gliwice 3:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball