Result
2:1
21/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/448) | 84% (375/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/448) | 84% (375/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (106/137) | 74% (87/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.58 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Janasik P. 🟨,
- 60', Janasik P. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
- 60', Rozga F. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
- 65', Walemark P. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 65', Lisman K. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 69', Kozubal A. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. ⚽, Biedrzycki B. (A),
- 73', Carstensen R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 74', Jagiello F. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
- 80', Al Ammari A. ↓, Bzdyl F. ↑,
- 80', Jugas J. ↓, Ghita V. ↑,
- 82', Biedrzycki B. 🟨,
- 85', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
- 90', Murawski R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Minchev M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
61.3% | Draw
21.7% | Cracovia
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Lech Poznań - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.68) |
4.31 ↑
(3.78) |
5.53 ↑
(4.76) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Cracovia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 50%). Cracovia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lech (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 2.
- Recent matches Lech is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Cracovia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Lech is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Ankle Injury)
Sousa A.
(Inactive)
Thordarson G.
(Broken collarbone)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Sokolowski P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cracovia: Hoskonen A.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lech won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Cracovia?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Lech Poznań?
Cracovia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Cracovia were as follows:
19.10.2024
Cracovia
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
28.04.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Cracovia
0:0
28.10.2023
Cracovia
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
06.05.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Cracovia
3:0
23.10.2022
Cracovia
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Cracovia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
