Cracovia vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/02/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków).

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 22
Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	2.94
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
8	17
Shots on Goal
3	4
Shots off Goal
4	10
Blocked Shots
1	3
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
4	11
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
Free Kicks
13	15
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
15	13
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
19	19
Touches in the Opposition Box
23	36
Passes
74% (259/352)	74% (277/376)
Passes in the final third
59% (64/109)	69% (83/121)
Crosses
55% (11/20)	23% (5/22)
Tackles
47% (7/15)	44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
25	16
Interceptions
11	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Rozga F. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Churlinov D. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Moutinho J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
60', Stojinovic D. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
61', Sokolowski P. ↓, Bzdyl F. ↑,
61', Rozga F. ↓, Hasic A. ↑,
61', Villar Miki ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
61', Costa Silva T. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
69', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
70', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
71', Kallman B. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
72', Olafsson D. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Bzdyl F. ⚽,
78', Moutinho J. 🟨,
82', Imaz J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
83', Hoskonen A. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, van Buren M. ⚽, Maigaard M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cracovia
43.8%

Draw
26.6%

Jagiellonia Białystok
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	3.16 ↑ (2.96)	7.3% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 13.8% – 69.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 3.
Cracovia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cracovia have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Cracovia: Al Ammari A. (Yellow Cards) Glik K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Sacek M. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28:29 (average 1.4:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Cracovia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Cracovia?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:

17.08.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia 2:4

14.04.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia 1:3

08.10.2023 Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:4

20.05.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia 1:1

05.11.2022 Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0

Latest results of Cracovia

14.02.2025 Cracovia - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Widzew Łódź - Cracovia 1:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Cracovia - GKS Jastrzębie 0:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa 0:0 ✺

10.01.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

20.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Bačka Topola 3:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin 3:0 ✺

13.02.2025 Bačka Topola - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:3 ✺

07.02.2025 Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 5:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV